Works matching Forecasting eruptions

Results: 205

Intra‐Eruption Forecasting Using Analogue Volcano and Eruption Sets.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2022, v. 127, n. 6, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022JB024343

By:

Bebbington, Mark S.;
Jenkins, Susanna F.

Publication type:

Article

Intra-eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2019, v. 81, n. 6, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1007/s00445-019-1294-9

By:

Bebbington, Mark S.;
Jenkins, Susanna F.

Publication type:

Article

Integration of stochastic models for long-term eruption forecasting into a Bayesian event tree scheme: a basis method to estimate the probability of volcanic unrest.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2013, v. 75, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s00445-013-0689-2

By:

Garcia-Aristizabal, Alexander;
Selva, Jacopo;
Fujita, Eisuke

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2012, v. 74, n. 8, p. 1777, doi. 10.1007/s00445-012-0633-x

By:

Marzocchi, Warner;
Bebbington, Mark

Publication type:

Article

Partly Cloudy With a Chance of Lava Flows: Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions in the Twenty‐First Century.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2020, v. 125, n. 1, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1029/2018JB016974

By:

Poland, Michael P.;
Anderson, Kyle R.

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic, Multi‐Sensor Eruption Forecasting.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2025, v. 52, n. 8, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024GL112029

By:

Behr, Y.;
Christophersen, A.;
Miller, C.

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting future volcanic eruptions at Mount Cameroon within the time interval 2000–2200.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2019, v. 81, n. 6, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1007/s00445-019-1295-8

By:

Nfomou, Ntepe;
Neh, Ngwa Caroline;
Joseph, Mbassa Benoît;
Isidore, Teitchou Merlin;
Bekoa, Ateba

Publication type:

Article

The process of resurgence for Ischia Island (southern Italy) since 55 ka: the laccolith model and implications for eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2012, v. 74, n. 5, p. 947, doi. 10.1007/s00445-012-0578-0

By:

Carlino, Stefano

Publication type:

Article

Volcanic Precursor Revealed by Machine Learning Offers New Eruption Forecasting Capability.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 19, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024GL108631

By:

Wang, Kaiwen;
Waldhauser, Felix;
Tolstoy, Maya;
Schaff, David;
Sawi, Theresa;
Wilcock, William S. D.;
Tan, Yen Joe

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting Eruptions at Poorly Known Volcanoes Using Analogs and Multivariate Renewal Processes.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, v. 49, n. 12, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021GL096715

By:

Wang, Ting;
Bebbington, Mark;
Cronin, Shane;
Carman, Joel

Publication type:

Article

Eruption Forecasting of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland, Using Permutation Entropy.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2022, v. 127, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022JB024840

By:

Sudibyo, Maria R. P.;
Eibl, Eva P. S.;
Hainzl, Sebastian;
Hersir, Gylfi Páll

Publication type:

Article

A physics-based source model for real-time tephra-dispersal forecasting for weak eruption plumes.

Published in:

Journal of Applied Volcanology, 2022, v. 11, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1186/s13617-022-00127-w

By:

Ishii, Kensuke;
Nishijo, Akira;
Koyaguchi, Takehiro;
Suzuki, Yujiro J.

Publication type:

Article

Towards real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise âRuaumokoâ.

Published in:: Bulletin of Volcanology, 2010, v. 72, n. 2, p. 185, doi. 10.1007/s00445-009-0311-9
Publication type:: Article

BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and short-term eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2008, v. 70, n. 5, p. 623, doi. 10.1007/s00445-007-0157-y

By:

Warner Marzocchi;
Laura Sandri;
Jacopo Selva

Publication type:

Article

A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Volcanic Hazard and Eruption Forecasting.

Published in:

Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2021, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/nhess-2021-213

By:

Marzocchi, Warner;
Selva, Jacopo;
Jordan, Thomas H.

Publication type:

Article

A unified probabilistic framework for volcanic hazard and eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences, 2021, v. 21, n. 11, p. 3509, doi. 10.5194/nhess-21-3509-2021

By:

Marzocchi, Warner;
Selva, Jacopo;
Jordan, Thomas H.

Publication type:

Article

Seismogenic lavas and explosive eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Nature, 2008, v. 453, n. 7194, p. 507, doi. 10.1038/nature06980

By:

Lavallée, Y.;
Meredith, P. G.;
Dingwell, D. B.;
Hess, K.-U.;
Wassermann, J.;
Cordonnier, B.;
Gerik, A.;
Kruhl, J. H.

Publication type:

Article

An Exercise in Forecasting the Next Mauna Loa Eruption.

Published in:

Journal of Geoscience Education, 1999, v. 47, n. 3, p. 255, doi. 10.5408/1089-9995-47.3.255

By:

Mattox, Stephen Ross

Publication type:

Article

\textbf{Deciphering magmatic reservoir failure using differential stress, driving pressure ratio and tensile strength -- implications for eruption forecasting}.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Lahiri, Sivaji;
Bhatt, Sandeep;
Mamtani, Manish. A.

Publication type:

Article

Evaluation of short-term probabilistic eruption forecasting at Whakaari, New Zealand.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2022, v. 84, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s00445-022-01600-5

By:

Dempsey, D. E.;
Kempa-Liehr, A. W.;
Ardid, A.;
Li, A.;
Orenia, S.;
Singh, J.;
Tyler, A. J.;
Cronin, S. J.

Publication type:

Article

Long-period volcano seismicity: Its source and use in eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Nature, 1996, v. 380, n. 6572, p. 309, doi. 10.1038/380309a0

By:

Chouet, Bernard A.

Publication type:

Article

The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2020, v. 11, n. 1, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1038/s41467-020-19190-1

By:

Patrick, M. R.;
Houghton, B. F.;
Anderson, K. R.;
Poland, M. P.;
Montgomery-Brown, E.;
Johanson, I.;
Thelen, W.;
Elias, T.

Publication type:

Article

Volcanic soil gas <sup>4</sup>He/CO<sub>2</sub> ratio: a useful geochemical tool for real-time eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Scientific Reports, 2024, v. 14, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41598-024-57666-y

By:

Pérez, Nemesio M.;
Padrón, Eleazar;
Melián, Gladys;
Hernández, Pedro A.;
Padilla, German;
Barrancos, José;
Rodríguez, Fátima;
D'Auria, Luca;
Calvo, David

Publication type:

Article

Ergodic seismic precursors and transfer learning for short term eruption forecasting at data scarce volcanoes.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2025, v. 16, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-025-56689-x

By:

Ardid, Alberto;
Dempsey, David;
Caudron, Corentin;
Cronin, Shane;
Kennedy, Ben;
Girona, Társilo;
Roman, Diana;
Miller, Craig;
Potter, Sally;
Lamb, Oliver D.;
Martanto, Anto;
Cubuk-Sabuncu, Yesim;
Cabrera, Leoncio;
Ruiz, Sergio;
Contreras, Rodrigo;
Pacheco, Javier;
Mora, Mauricio M.;
De Angelis, Silvio

Publication type:

Article

Understanding and forecasting phreatic eruptions driven by magmatic degassing.

Published in:

Earth, Planets & Space, 2018, v. 70, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1186/s40623-018-0855-z

By:

Stix, John;
de Moor, J. Maarten

Publication type:

Article

A Dynamic Extreme Value Model with Application to Volcanic Eruption Forecasting.

Published in:

Mathematical Geosciences, 2024, v. 56, n. 4, p. 841, doi. 10.1007/s11004-023-10109-2

By:

Nguyen, Michele;
Veraart, Almut E. D.;
Taisne, Benoit;
Tan, Chiou Ting;
Lallemant, David

Publication type:

Article

Pilot study of eruption forecasting with muography using convolutional neural network.

Published in:

Scientific Reports, 2020, v. 10, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41598-020-62342-y

By:

Nomura, Yukihiro;
Nemoto, Mitsutaka;
Hayashi, Naoto;
Hanaoka, Shouhei;
Murata, Masaki;
Yoshikawa, Takeharu;
Masutani, Yoshitaka;
Maeda, Eriko;
Abe, Osamu;
Tanaka, Hiroyuki K. M.

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting the Eruption of an Open‐Vent Volcano Using Resonant Infrasound Tones.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 5, p. 2213, doi. 10.1002/2017GL076506

By:

Johnson, Jeffrey B.;
Watson, Leighton M.;
Palma, Jose L.;
Dunham, Eric M.;
Anderson, Jacob F.

Publication type:

Article

Training in crisis communication and volcanic eruption forecasting: design and evaluation of an authentic role-play simulation.

Published in:

Journal of Applied Volcanology, 2015, v. 4, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1186/s13617-015-0030-1

By:

Dohaney, Jacqueline;
Brogt, Erik;
Kennedy, Ben;
Wilson, Thomas M.;
Lindsay, Jan M.

Publication type:

Article

Long-term eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Nature Geoscience, 2022, v. 15, n. 7, p. 516, doi. 10.1038/s41561-022-00973-8

By:

Mittal, Tushar

Publication type:

Article

Top–Down Precursory Volcanic Seismicity: Implications for 'Stealth' Magma Ascent and Long-Term Eruption Forecasting.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Roman, Diana;
Cashman, Katharine

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2018, v. 20, p. 5653

By:

Bilbao, Roberto;
Ménégoz, Martin;
Bellprat, Omar;
Guemas, Virginie;
Doblas-Reyes, Francisco

Publication type:

Article

Real-time lava flow forecasting during the 2022 Mauna Loa eruption response.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2025, v. 87, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s00445-024-01783-z

By:

Hyman, David M. R.;
Dietterich, Hannah R.;
Gallant, Elisabeth;
Lynn, Kendra J.;
Zoeller, Michael H.;
Patrick, Matthew R.;
Kauahikaua, Jim;
Trusdell, Frank;
Hon, Ken;
Denlinger, Roger P.;
Foks, N. Leon;
Lee, R. Lopaka;
Falgout, Jeff;
Gordon, Janice

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting eruptions from long-quiescent volcanoes.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2022, v. 84, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s00445-022-01532-0

By:

Kilburn, Christopher R. J.;
Bell, Andrew F.

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting the duration of volcanic eruptions: an empirical probabilistic model.

Published in:

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2014, v. 76, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s00445-013-0780-8

By:

Gunn, L.;
Blake, S.;
Jones, M.;
Rymer, H.

Publication type:

Article

Automatic precursor recognition and real-time forecasting of sudden explosive volcanic eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2020, v. 11, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-020-17375-2

By:

Dempsey, D. E.;
Cronin, S. J.;
Mei, S.;
Kempa-Liehr, A. W.

Publication type:

Article

Special issue "Towards forecasting phreatic eruptions: examples from Hakone volcano and some global equivalents".

Published in:

Earth, Planets & Space, 2019, v. 71, n. 1, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1186/s40623-019-1068-9

By:

Mannen, Kazutaka;
Roman, Diana;
Leonard, Graham;
Prejean, Stephanie;
Nakagawa, Mitsuhiro

Publication type:

Article

Remarkable cyclic ground deformation monitored in real-time on Montserrat, and its use in eruption forecasting.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 1998, v. 25, n. 18, p. 3405, doi. 10.1029/98GL01160

By:

Voight, B.;
Hoblitt, R. P.;
Clarke, A. B.;
Lockhart, A. B.;
Miller, A. D.;
Lynch, L.;
McMahon, J.

Publication type:

Article

Real-time eruption forecasting using the material Failure Forecast Method with a Bayesian approach.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2015, v. 120, n. 4, p. 2143, doi. 10.1002/2014JB011637

By:

Boué, A.;
Lesage, P.;
Cortés, G.;
Valette, B.;
Reyes-Dávila, G.

Publication type:

Article

International symposium on forecasting volcanic eruptions and relationship between types of eruption and corresponding magma types.

Published in:

International Geology Review, 1965, v. 7, n. 3, p. 501, doi. 10.1080/00206816509474133

By:

Vlodavets, V.I.

Publication type:

Article

The flare likelihood and region eruption forecasting (FLARECAST) project: flare forecasting in the big data & machine learning era.

Published in:

Journal of Space Weather & Space Climate, 2021, v. 11, p. 1, doi. 10.1051/swsc/2021023

By:

Georgoulis, Manolis K.;
Bloomfield, D. Shaun;
Piana, Michele;
Massone, Anna Maria;
Soldati, Marco;
Gallagher, Peter T.;
Pariat, Etienne;
Vilmer, Nicole;
Buchlin, Eric;
Baudin, Frederic;
Csillaghy, Andre;
Sathiapal, Hanna;
Jackson, David R.;
Alingery, Pablo;
Benvenuto, Federico;
Campi, Cristina;
Florios, Konstantinos;
Gontikakis, Constantinos;
Guennou, Chloe;
Guerra, Jordan A.

Publication type:

Article

An initial assessment of short-term eruption forecasting options in New Zealand.

Published in:

New Zealand Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 2023, v. 66, n. 4, p. 611, doi. 10.1080/00288306.2022.2080236

By:

Whitehead, Melody G.;
Bebbington, Mark S.;
Procter, Jonathan N.;
Irwin, Matthew E.;
Viskovic, Graham Paul D.

Publication type:

Article

Universal machine learning approach to volcanic eruption forecasting using seismic features.

Published in:

Frontiers in Earth Science, 2024, p. 01, doi. 10.3389/feart.2024.1342468

By:

Rey-Devesa, Pablo;
Carthy, Joe;
Titos, Manuel;
Prudencio, Janire;
Ibáñez, Jesús M.;
Benítez, Carmen;
La Rocca, Mario;
Badi, Gabriela Alejandra;
Bianco, Francesca

Publication type:

Article

Eruption forecasting at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 1984, v. 89, n. B5, p. 3059, doi. 10.1029/JB089iB05p03059

By:

Klein, Fred W.

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, v. 34, n. 22, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2007GL031922

By:

Marzocchi, Warner;
Woo, Gordon

Publication type:

Article

Forecasting volcanic eruptions and other material failure phenomena: An evaluation of the failure forecast method.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2011, v. 38, n. 15, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2011GL048155

By:

Bell, Andrew F.;
Naylor, Mark;
Heap, Michael J.;
Main, Ian G.

Publication type:

Article

Repose time and cumulative moment magnitude: A new tool for forecasting eruptions?

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2010, v. 37, n. 18, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2010GL044194

By:

Thelen, W. A.;
Malone, S. D.;
West, M. E.

Publication type:

Article

Stresses Induced by Magma Chamber Pressurization Altered by Mechanical Layering and Layer Dip.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2024, v. 129, n. 5, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023JB027760

By:

Clunes, Matías;
Browning, John;
Cortez, Jorge;
Cembrano, José;
Marquardt, Carlos;
Kavanagh, Janine L.;
Gudmundsson, Agust

Publication type:

Article

Precursory Signal Detected for the 2018 Sierra Negra Volcanic Eruption, Galápagos, Using Seismic Ambient Noise.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2022, v. 127, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021JB022990

By:

Ruiz, Mario Z.;
Civilini, Francesco;
Ebinger, Cynthia J.;
Oliva, Sarah J.;
Ruiz, Mario C.;
Badi, Gabriela;
La Femina, Peter C.;
Casas, José A.

Publication type:

Article

Indicators of Volcanic Eruptions Revealed by Global M4+ Earthquakes.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 2021, v. 126, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020JB021294

By:

Pesicek, J. D.;
Ogburn, S. E.;
Prejean, S. G.

Publication type:

Article