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Verification of the Global Forecast System, North American Mesoscale Forecast System, and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model Near-Surface Forecasts by Use of the New York State Mesonet.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2024, v. 39, n. 2, p. 369, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-23-0094.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Advancing Atmospheric River Science and Inspiring Future Development of the Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Program.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 105, n. 1, p. E75, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0278.1
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- Article
Unusual tracks: Statistical, controlling factors and model prediction.
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- Tropical Cyclone Research & Review, 2023, v. 12, n. 4, p. 309, doi. 10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.12.002
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- Article
Forecast evaluation of the North Pacific jet stream using AR Recon dropwindsondes.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 149, n. 756, p. 3044, doi. 10.1002/qj.4545
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- Article
A Tale of Two Vortex Evolutions: Using a High-Resolution Ensemble to Assess the Impacts of Ventilation on a Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Event.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2023, v. 151, n. 1, p. 297, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0037.1
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- Article
The Sensitivity of Downstream Ridge Building Forecasts to Upstream Warm Conveyor Belt Forecast Uncertainty Using MPAS.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 10, p. 2573, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0048.1
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- Article
Evaluation of Independent Stochastically Perturbed Parameterization Tendency (iSPPT) Scheme on HWRF-Based Ensemble Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 10, p. 2659, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0303.1
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- Article
An Analog Comparison between Rapidly and Slowly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 8, p. 2139, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0260.1
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- Article
Process-Based Evaluation of Stochastic Perturbed Microphysics Parameterization Tendencies on Ensemble Forecasts of Heavy Rainfall Events.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 1, p. 175, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0090.1
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- Article
Sensitivity of Forecast Uncertainty to Different Microphysics Schemes within a Convection-Allowing Ensemble during SoWMEX-IOP8.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 12, p. 4145, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0366.1
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- Article
A Comparison of Arctic and Atlantic Cyclone Predictability.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 11, p. 3837, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0350.1
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- Article
Validation of Ensemble-Based Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change.
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- Atmosphere, 2021, v. 12, n. 3, p. 373, doi. 10.3390/atmos12030373
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- Article
Ensemble Variability in Rainfall Forecasts of Hurricane Irene (2011).
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 5, p. 1761, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0239.1
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- Article
Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 4, p. 1447, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0049.1
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- Article
A Feature-Based Approach to Classifying Summertime Potential Vorticity Streamers Linked to Rossby Wave Breaking in the North Atlantic Basin.
- Published in:
- Journal of Climate, 2020, v. 33, n. 14, p. 5953, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0812.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
NOAA's Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT) Experiment Observations and Forecast Impacts.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2020, v. 101, n. 7, p. E968, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0257.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Evaluation of Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies on Convective-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of Heavy Rainfall Events in New York and Taiwan.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 1, p. 5, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0064.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
The Impact of Initial Condition and Warm Conveyor Belt Forecast Uncertainty on Variability in the Downstream Waveguide in an ECWMF Case Study.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 11, p. 4071, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0333.1
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- Article
Investigating the Factors That Contribute to African Easterly Wave Intensity Forecast Uncertainty in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 5, p. 1679, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0071.1
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- Article
The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones. Part II: Interaction with the Midlatitude Flow, Downstream Impacts, and Implications for Predictability.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 4, p. 1077, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0329.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Impacts of Targeted AERI and Doppler Lidar Wind Retrievals on Short-Term Forecasts of the Initiation and Early Evolution of Thunderstorms.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 4, p. 1149, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0351.1
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- Article
Tropical Cyclone Track Sensitivity in Deformation Steering Flow.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2018, v. 146, n. 10, p. 3183, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0153.1
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- Article
African Easterly Wave Forecast Verification and Its Relation to Convective Errors within the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2018, v. 33, n. 2, p. 461, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-17-0130.1
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- Article
Diagnosing Conditions Associated with Large Intensity Forecast Errors in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2018, v. 33, n. 1, p. 239, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-17-0077.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
A Comparison of the Downstream Predictability Associated with ET and Baroclinic Cyclones.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 11, p. 4651, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0083.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Sensitivity of Northern Great Plains Convection Forecasts to Upstream and Downstream Forecast Errors.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 6, p. 2141, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0353.1
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- Article
Climatological Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Changes under Moderate Vertical Wind Shear.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 5, p. 1717, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0350.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 5, p. 1831, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0457.1
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- Article
A Climatology of Central American Gyres.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 5, p. 1983, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0411.1
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- Article
Impact of Assimilating Dropsonde Observations from MPEX on Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather Events.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2016, v. 144, n. 10, p. 3799, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0407.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Evaluation of Atmosphere and Ocean Initial Condition Uncertainty and Stochastic Exchange Coefficients on Ensemble Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2016, v. 144, n. 9, p. 3487, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0108.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Diagnosis of the Source and Evolution of Medium-Range Forecast Errors for Extratropical Cyclone Joachim.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2016, v. 31, n. 4, p. 1197, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-16-0026.1
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- Article
An Ensemble Approach to Investigate Tropical Cyclone Intensification in Sheared Environments. Part II: Ophelia (2011).
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2016, v. 73, n. 4, p. 1555, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0245.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
An Ensemble Approach to Investigate Tropical Cyclone Intensification in Sheared Environments. Part I: Katia (2011).
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2016, v. 73, n. 1, p. 71, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0052.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Sensitivity of Central Oklahoma Convection Forecasts to Upstream Potential Vorticity Anomalies during Two Strongly Forced Cases during MPEX.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 10, p. 4064, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0085.1
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- Article
Comparison of Wave Packets Associated with Extratropical Transition and Winter Cyclones.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 5, p. 1782, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00006.1
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- Article
Diagnosis of the Source of GFS Medium-Range Track Errors in Hurricane Sandy (2012).
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 1, p. 132, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00086.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Verification of Global and Mesoscale Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclogenesis.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2014, v. 29, n. 5, p. 1181, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00028.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
The Impact of Targeted Dropwindsonde Observations on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts of Four Weak Systems during PREDICT.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2014, v. 142, n. 8, p. 2860, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00284.1
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- Article
Evaluation of the Advanced Hurricane WRF Data Assimilation System for the 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 2, p. 523, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00139.1
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- Article
The Role of Vortex and Environment Errors in Genesis Forecasts of Hurricanes Danielle and Karl (2010).
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 1, p. 232, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00086.1
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- Article
The Influence of Shallow Convection on Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2012, v. 140, n. 7, p. 2188, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00246.1
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- Article
Uncertainty of Tropical Cyclone Best-Track Information.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2012, v. 27, n. 3, p. 715, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-11-00085.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Performance of a Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) during the NOAA High-Resolution Hurricane Test.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2010, v. 138, n. 12, p. 4375, doi. 10.1175/2010MWR3361.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Diagnosis of the Downstream Ridging Associated with Extratropical Transition Using Short-Term Ensemble Forecasts.
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2010, v. 67, n. 3, p. 817, doi. 10.1175/2009JAS3093.1
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- Article
Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis Applied to African Easterly Waves.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2010, v. 25, n. 1, p. 61, doi. 10.1175/2009WAF2222255.1
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- Article
Initial Condition Sensitivity of Western Pacific Extratropical Transitions Determined Using Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2009, v. 137, n. 10, p. 3388, doi. 10.1175/2009MWR2879.1
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- Article
Ensemble Data Assimilation Applied to RAINEX Observations of Hurricane Katrina (2005).
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2009, v. 137, n. 9, p. 2817, doi. 10.1175/2009MWR2656.1
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- Article
Performance Characteristics of a Pseudo-Operational Ensemble Kalman Filter.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 10, p. 3947, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2443.1
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- Article
Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 2, p. 663, doi. 10.1175/2007MWR2132.1
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- Article