Works matching AU Stephenson, David B.
Results: 72
Could detection and attribution of climate change trends be spurious regression?
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- Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 59, n. 9/10, p. 2785, doi. 10.1007/s00382-022-06242-z
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- Article
How to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts?
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- Climate Dynamics, 2020, v. 55, n. 5/6, p. 1141, doi. 10.1007/s00382-020-05314-2
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- Article
The 21st Century Decline in Damaging European Windstorms.
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- Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2016, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/nhess-2016-121
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- Article
More Accurate Climate Trend Attribution by Using Cointegrating Vector Time Series Models.
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- Sustainability (2071-1050), 2023, v. 15, n. 16, p. 12142, doi. 10.3390/su151612142
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- Article
A new energy-balance approach to linear filtering for estimating effective radiative forcing from temperature time series.
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- Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology & Oceanography (ASCMO), 2020, v. 6, n. 2, p. 91, doi. 10.5194/ascmo-6-91-2020
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- Article
On the temporal clustering of US floods and its relationship to climate teleconnection patterns.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2013, v. 33, n. 3, p. 629, doi. 10.1002/joc.3458
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- Article
Estimation of trends in extreme melt-season duration at Svalbard.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2012, v. 32, n. 14, p. 2227, doi. 10.1002/joc.3395
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- Article
Impact of Labrador sea-ice extent on the North Atlantic oscillation.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2004, v. 24, n. 5, p. 603, doi. 10.1002/joc.1015
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- Article
Mediated and direct effects of the North Atlantic Ocean on winter temperatures in northwest Europe.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2003, v. 23, n. 3, p. 245, doi. 10.1002/joc.867
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- Article
Is the North Atlantic Oscillation a random walk?
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2000, v. 20, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(200001)20:1<1::AID-JOC456>3.0.CO;2-P
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- Article
Time series modeling of paleoclimate data.
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- Environmetrics, 2016, v. 27, n. 1, p. 55, doi. 10.1002/env.2373
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Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change.
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- Environmetrics, 2012, v. 23, n. 5, p. 364, doi. 10.1002/env.2153
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- Article
State space models for non‐stationary intermittently coupled systems: an application to the North Atlantic oscillation.
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- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 2019, v. 68, n. 5, p. 1259, doi. 10.1111/rssc.12354
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Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 20, p. 7203, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0161.1
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- Article
Best Practices for Postprocessing Ensemble Climate Forecasts. Part I: Selecting Appropriate Recalibration Methods.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 20, p. 7247, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0868.1
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A Bayesian Framework for Verification and Recalibration of Ensemble Forecasts: How Uncertain is NAO Predictability?
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 3, p. 995, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0196.1
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- Article
A Weibull Approach for Improving Climate Model Projections of Tropical Cyclone Wind-Speed Distributions.
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- Journal of Climate, 2014, v. 27, n. 16, p. 6119, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00121.1
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A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models*.
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- Journal of Climate, 2013, v. 26, n. 16, p. 5846, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00573.1
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Reply to "Comments on 'A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions".
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- 2013
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- Letter
Simple Uncertainty Frameworks for Selecting Weighting Schemes and Interpreting Multimodel Ensemble Climate Change Experiments.
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- Journal of Climate, 2013, v. 26, n. 12, p. 4017, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00462.1
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On the Robustness of Emergent Constraints Used in Multimodel Climate Change Projections of Arctic Warming.
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- Journal of Climate, 2013, v. 26, n. 2, p. 669, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00537.1
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- Article
A Simple, Coherent Framework for Partitioning Uncertainty in Climate Predictions.
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- Journal of Climate, 2011, v. 24, n. 17, p. 4634, doi. 10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1
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Empirical Orthogonal Functions: The Medium is the Message.
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- Journal of Climate, 2009, v. 22, n. 24, p. 6501, doi. 10.1175/2009JCLI3062.1
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Spatial Weighting and Iterative Projection Methods for EOFs.
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- Journal of Climate, 2009, v. 22, n. 2, p. 234, doi. 10.1175/2008JCLI2147.1
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- Article
Granger Causality of Coupled Climate Processes: Ocean Feedback on the North Atlantic Oscillation.
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- Journal of Climate, 2006, v. 19, n. 7, p. 1182, doi. 10.1175/JCLI3653.1
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A statistical, machine learning framework for parametric risk transfer.
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- Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1
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Serial Clustering of Extratropical Cyclones.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2006, v. 134, n. 8, p. 2224, doi. 10.1175/MWR3160.1
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Three recommendations for evaluating climate predictions.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2013, v. 20, n. 2, p. 246, doi. 10.1002/met.1409
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Assessing and reporting the quality of commercial weather forecasts.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2008, v. 15, n. 4, p. 423, doi. 10.1002/met.85
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- Article
How to judge the quality and value of weather forecast products.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2001, v. 8, n. 3, p. 307, doi. 10.1017/S1350482701003061
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- Article
Estimates of past and future ozone trends from multimodel simulations using a flexible smoothing spline methodology.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2010, v. 115, n. D3, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2009JD013622
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- Article
Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2006, v. 111, n. D14, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2005JD006289
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- Article
Simple Nonparametric Techniques for Exploring Changing Probability Distributions of Weather.
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- Journal of Climate, 2005, v. 18, n. 21, p. 4344, doi. 10.1175/JCLI3518.1
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- Article
Observed Trends and Teleconnections of the Siberian High: A Recently Declining Center of Action.
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- Journal of Climate, 2005, v. 18, n. 9, p. 1411, doi. 10.1175/JCLI3352.1
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- Article
Atlantic Atmosphere–Ocean Interaction: A Stochastic Climate Model–Based Diagnosis.
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- Journal of Climate, 2005, v. 18, n. 7, p. 1086, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-3315.1
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- Article
CORRIGENDUM.
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- 2002
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- Erratum
Arctic Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation?
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- Journal of Climate, 2001, v. 14, n. 16, p. 3495, doi. 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3495:AOONAO>2.0.CO;2
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- Article
From Atmospheric Dynamics to Insurance Losses: An Interdisciplinary Workshop on European Storms.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 100, n. 6, p. ES175, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0026.1
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- Article
Calibration Strategies: A Source of Additional Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2012, v. 93, n. 1, p. 21, doi. 10.1175/2011BAMS3110.1
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- Article
Optimal Estimation of Stochastic Energy Balance Model Parameters.
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- Journal of Climate, 2020, v. 33, n. 18, p. 7909, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0589.1
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- Article
Comments on 'H. L. Wagner's Unbiased Hit Rate and the Assessment of Categorical Forecasting Accuracy'.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2014, v. 29, n. 3, p. 763, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00004.1
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- Article
Extremal Dependence Indices: Improved Verification Measures for Deterministic Forecasts of Rare Binary Events.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2011, v. 26, n. 5, p. 699, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-10-05030.1
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- Article
Equitability Revisited: Why the “Equitable Threat Score” Is Not Equitable.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2010, v. 25, n. 2, p. 710, doi. 10.1175/2009WAF2222350.1
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- Article
Comments on “Discussion of Verification Concepts in Forecast Verification: A Practitioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science”.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2005, v. 20, n. 5, p. 796, doi. 10.1175/WAF877.1
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- Article
Use of the 'Odds Ratio' for Diagnosing Forecast Skill.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2000, v. 15, n. 2, p. 221, doi. 10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0221:UOTORF>2.0.CO;2
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- Article
The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil The development of an early warning system for climate-sensitive disease risk with a focus on dengue epidemics in Southeast Brazil
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- Statistics in Medicine, 2013, v. 32, n. 5, p. 864, doi. 10.1002/sim.5549
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- Article
The impact of changing the horizontal diffusion scheme on the northern winter climatology of a general circulation model.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1995, v. 121, n. 521, p. 211, doi. 10.1002/qj.49712152110
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The northern hemisphere tropospheric response to changes in the gravity-wave drag scheme in a perpetual January GCM.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1994, v. 120, n. 517, p. 699, doi. 10.1002/qj.49712051709
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Return levels of extreme European windstorms, their dependency on the NAO, and potential future risks.
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- Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2023, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/nhess-2023-22
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Drivers of the 2013/14 winter floods in the UK.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2015, v. 5, n. 6, p. 490, doi. 10.1038/nclimate2612
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- Article