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Improving subseasonal forecast of precipitation in Europe by combining a stochastic weather generator with dynamical models.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 150, n. 762, p. 2744, doi. 10.1002/qj.4733
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- Article
Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over northern and central Italy using machine learning.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 150, n. 762, p. 3167, doi. 10.1002/qj.4755
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- Article
The Rise of Data-Driven Weather Forecasting: A First Statistical Assessment of Machine Learning–Based Weather Forecasts in an Operational-Like Context.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 105, n. 6, p. E864, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0162.1
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- Article
Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 150, n. 759, p. 776, doi. 10.1002/qj.4622
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- Article
The Role of Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves in Sub‐Seasonal Predictions.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 21, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL106198
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- Article
Analysis of spatially coherent forecast error structures.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 149, n. 756, p. 2881, doi. 10.1002/qj.4536
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- Article
Systematic Errors in Weather and Climate Models: Challenges and Opportunities in Complex Coupled Modeling Systems.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 104, n. 9, p. E1687, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0102.1
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- Article
Advanced Tropical Cyclone Prediction Using the Experimental Global ECMWF and Operational Regional COAMPS-TC Systems.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2023, v. 151, n. 8, p. 2029, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0236.1
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- Article
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts in the DIMOSIC Project—Medium‐Range Forecast Models With Common Initial Conditions.
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- Earth & Space Science, 2023, v. 10, n. 7, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023EA002821
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- Article
A review of recent advances (2018-2021) on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives, part 1: Dynamical model guidance.
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- Tropical Cyclone Research & Review, 2023, v. 12, n. 1, p. 30, doi. 10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.004
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- Article
Warm air intrusions reaching the MOSAiC expedition in April 2020--The YOPP targeted observing period (TOP).
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- Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 2023, v. 11, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1525/elementa.2023.00016
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- Article
Forecasting extreme precipitation in the central Mediterranean: Changes in predictors' strength with prediction lead time.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2022, v. 29, n. 6, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/met.2101
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- Article
Improving Arctic Weather and Seasonal Climate Prediction: Recommendations for Future Forecast Systems Evolution from the European Project APPLICATE.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 103, n. 10, p. E2203, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0083.1
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- Article
Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea ice for weather forecasts.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 3, p. 713, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-713-2022
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- Article
A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth system models: performance, impacts and future.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2022, v. 22, n. 7, p. 4277, doi. 10.5194/acp-22-4277-2022
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- Article
Fully coupled high‐resolution medium‐range forecasts: Evaluation of the hydrometeorological impact in an ensemble framework.
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- Hydrological Processes, 2022, v. 36, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/hyp.14503
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- Article
Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea-ice for weather forecasts.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2022-5
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- Article
What do large-scale patterns teach us about extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean at medium-and extended-range forecasts?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 743, p. 875, doi. 10.1002/qj.4236
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- Article
Heavy Alpine snowfall in January 2019 connected to atmospheric blocking.
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- Weather (00431656), 2022, v. 77, n. 1, p. 7, doi. 10.1002/wea.4020
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- Article
Year-round sub-seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic-European weather regimes.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, v. 147, n. 741, p. 4283, doi. 10.1002/qj.4178
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- Article
Late Spring and Summer Subseasonal Forecasts in the Northern Hemisphere Midlatitudes: Biases and Skill in the ECMWF Model.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 8, p. 2659, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0342.1
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- Article
Extreme precipitation events in the Mediterranean: Spatiotemporal characteristics and connection to large‐scale atmospheric flow patterns.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2021, v. 41, n. 4, p. 2710, doi. 10.1002/joc.6985
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- Article
A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models: performance, impacts and future.
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- 2021
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- Abstract
Central Arctic weather forecasting: Confronting the ECMWF IFS with observations from the Arctic Ocean 2018 expedition.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, v. 174, n. 735, p. 1278, doi. 10.1002/qj.3971
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- Article
How grid‐spacing and convection representation affected the wind speed forecasts of four polar lows.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, v. 147, n. 734, p. 150, doi. 10.1002/qj.3911
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- Article
ECMWF global coupled atmosphere, ocean and sea-ice dataset for the Year of Polar Prediction 2017–2020.
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- Scientific Data, 2020, v. 7, n. 1, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1038/s41597-020-00765-y
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- Article
Measuring the Impact of a New Snow Model Using Surface Energy Budget Process Relationships.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, v. 12, n. 12, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020MS002144
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- Article
A Vision for Hydrological Prediction.
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- Atmosphere, 2020, v. 11, n. 3, p. 237, doi. 10.3390/atmos11030237
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- Article
Reply to "Comments on 'What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?'".
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020, v. 77, n. 2, p. 787, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0308.1
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- Article
Convectively Coupled Equatorial Wave Simulations Using the ECMWF IFS and the NOAA GFS Cumulus Convection Schemes in the NOAA GFS Model.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 11, p. 4005, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0195.1
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- Article
Increased Arctic influence on the midlatitude flow during Scandinavian Blocking episodes.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 145, n. 725, p. 3846, doi. 10.1002/qj.3673
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- Article
Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Landfall Using ECMWF's System 4.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2019, v. 34, n. 5, p. 1239, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-18-0032.1
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- Article
Dependence on initial conditions versus model formulations for medium‐range forecast error variations.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 145, n. 722, p. 2085, doi. 10.1002/qj.3545
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- Article
Advancements in Hurricane Prediction With NOAA's Next‐Generation Forecast System.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 8, p. 4495, doi. 10.1029/2019GL082410
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- Article
Monitoring trends in ensemble forecast performance focusing on surface variables and high‐impact events.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 145, n. 721, p. 1741, doi. 10.1002/qj.3523
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- Article
What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, v. 76, n. 4, p. 1077, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-18-0269.1
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- Article
SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system.
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- Geoscientific Model Development, 2019, v. 12, n. 3, p. 1087, doi. 10.5194/gmd-12-1087-2019
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- Article
Imprex risk outlook tool - demonstration of use of (semi)-operational products.
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- Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1
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- Article
An atmospheric dynamics perspective on the amplification and propagation of forecast error in numerical weather prediction models: A case study.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2018, v. 144, n. 717, p. 2577, doi. 10.1002/qj.3353
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- Article
SEAS5: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system.
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- Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2018, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/gmd-2018-228
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- Article
How far in advance can we predict changes in large‐scale flow leading to severe cold conditions over Europe?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2018, v. 144, n. 715, p. 1788, doi. 10.1002/qj.3341
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- Article
The 2013/14 Thames Basin Floods: Do Improved Meteorological Forecasts Lead to More Skillful Hydrological Forecasts at Seasonal Time Scales?
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2018, v. 19, n. 6, p. 1059, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0182.1
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- Article
Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2017, v. 143, n. 707, p. 2315, doi. 10.1002/qj.3094
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- Article
Tropical cyclone sensitivity to ocean coupling in the ECMWF coupled model.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans, 2017, v. 122, n. 5, p. 4392, doi. 10.1002/2017JC012753
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- Article
Sensitivity of the ECMWF Model to Semi-Lagrangian Departure Point Iterations.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2016, v. 144, n. 9, p. 3233, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0432.1
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- Article
Diagnosis of the Source and Evolution of Medium-Range Forecast Errors for Extratropical Cyclone Joachim.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2016, v. 31, n. 4, p. 1197, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-16-0026.1
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- Article
Global Distribution of the Skill of Tropical Cyclone Activity Forecasts on Short- to Medium-Range Time Scales.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2015, v. 30, n. 6, p. 1695, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00136.1
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- Article
Evaluation of Medium-Range Forecasts for Hurricane Sandy.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2014, v. 142, n. 5, p. 1962, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00228.1
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- Article
Evaluation of forecast strategies for seasonal and decadal forecasts in presence of systematic model errors.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2013, v. 41, n. 9/10, p. 2393, doi. 10.1007/s00382-012-1599-2
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- Article
CHARACTERISTICS OF OCCASIONAL POOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS FOR EUROPE.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2013, v. 94, n. 9, p. 1393, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00099.1
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- Article