Works matching AU Lehner, Flavio

Results: 74

Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events.

Published in:

Nature Climate Change, 2022, v. 12, n. 4, p. 350, doi. 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5

By:

Bevacqua, Emanuele;
Zappa, Giuseppe;
Lehner, Flavio;
Zscheischler, Jakob

Publication type:

Article

Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction.

Published in:

Nature Climate Change, 2020, v. 10, n. 3, p. 191, doi. 10.1038/s41558-020-0709-0

By:

Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Meehl, Gerald A.;
Pulwarty, Roger;
Hobbins, Mike;
Hoell, Andrew;
AghaKouchak, Amir;
Bonfils, Céline J. W.;
Gallant, Ailie J. E.;
Hoerling, Martin;
Hoffmann, David;
Kaatz, Laurna;
Lehner, Flavio;
Llewellyn, Dagmar;
Mote, Philip;
Neale, Richard B.;
Overpeck, Jonathan T.;
Sheffield, Amanda;
Stahl, Kerstin;
Svoboda, Mark;
Wheeler, Matthew C.

Publication type:

Article

The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models.

Published in:

Nature Climate Change, 2019, v. 9, n. 12, p. 926, doi. 10.1038/s41558-019-0639-x

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Wood, Andrew W.;
Vano, Julie A.;
Lawrence, David M.;
Clark, Martyn P.;
Mankin, Justin S.

Publication type:

Article

Projected increases and shifts in rain-on-snow flood risk over western North America.

Published in:

Nature Climate Change, 2018, v. 8, n. 9, p. 808, doi. 10.1038/s41558-018-0236-4

By:

Musselman, Keith N.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Ikeda, Kyoko;
Clark, Martyn P.;
Prein, Andreas F.;
Liu, Changhai;
Barlage, Mike;
Rasmussen, Roy

Publication type:

Article

From local perception to global perspective.

Published in:

Nature Climate Change, 2015, v. 5, n. 8, p. 731, doi. 10.1038/nclimate2660

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Stocker, Thomas F.

Publication type:

Article

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2020, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/esd-2020-23

By:

Brunner, Lukas;
Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Merrifield, Anna L.;
Lorenz, Ruth;
Knutti, Reto

Publication type:

Article

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2020, p. 1

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Deser, Clara;
Maher, Nicola;
Marotzke, Jochem;
Fischer, Erich;
Brunner, Lukas;
Knutti, Reto;
Hawkins, Ed

Publication type:

Article

Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics, 2022, v. 13, n. 4, p. 1689, doi. 10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022

By:

Philip, Sjoukje Y.;
Kew, Sarah F.;
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;
Anslow, Faron S.;
Seneviratne, Sonia I.;
Vautard, Robert;
Coumou, Dim;
Ebi, Kristie L.;
Arrighi, Julie;
Singh, Roop;
van Aalst, Maarten;
Pereira Marghidan, Carolina;
Wehner, Michael;
Yang, Wenchang;
Li, Sihan;
Schumacher, Dominik L.;
Hauser, Mathias;
Bonnet, Rémy;
Luu, Linh N.;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics, 2020, v. 11, n. 4, p. 995, doi. 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020

By:

Brunner, Lukas;
Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Merrifield, Anna L.;
Lorenz, Ruth;
Knutti, Reto

Publication type:

Article

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics, 2020, v. 11, n. 2, p. 491, doi. 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Deser, Clara;
Maher, Nicola;
Marotzke, Jochem;
Fischer, Erich M.;
Brunner, Lukas;
Knutti, Reto;
Hawkins, Ed

Publication type:

Article

Internal Climate Variability Obscures Future Freezing Rain Changes Despite Global Warming Trend.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 23, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024GL111741

By:

Zhuang, Haoyu;
DeGaetano, Arthur T.;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Anthropogenic Aerosols Contribute to the Recent Decline in Precipitation Over the U.S. Southwest.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 23, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL105389

By:

Kuo, Yan‐Ning;
Kim, Hanjun;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Diverging Northern Hemisphere Trends in Meteorological Versus Ecological Indicators of Spring Onset in CMIP6.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 8, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL102833

By:

Li, Xiaolu;
Ault, Toby;
Evans, Colin P.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Carrillo, Carlos M.;
Donnelly, Alison;
Crimmins, Theresa;
Gallinat, Amanda S.;
Schwartz, Mark D.

Publication type:

Article

Exploiting SMILEs and the CMIP5 Archive to Understand Arctic Climate Change Seasonality and Uncertainty.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022GL100745

By:

Wu, You‐Ting;
Liang, Yu‐Chiao;
Kuo, Yan‐Ning;
Lehner, Flavio;
Previdi, Michael;
Polvani, Lorenzo M.;
Lo, Min‐Hui;
Lan, Chia‐Wei

Publication type:

Article

Does Regional Hydroclimate Change Scale Linearly With Global Warming?

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, v. 48, n. 23, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021GL095127

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Coats, Sloan

Publication type:

Article

Revisiting Recent U.S. Heat Waves in a Warmer and More Humid Climate.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 9, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2019GL086736

By:

Rastogi, Deeksha;
Lehner, Flavio;
Ashfaq, Moetasim

Publication type:

Article

Human Influence on Winter Precipitation Trends (1921–2015) over North America and Eurasia Revealed by Dynamical Adjustment.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 6, p. 3426, doi. 10.1029/2018GL081316

By:

Guo, Ruixia;
Deser, Clara;
Terray, Laurent;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Attributing the U.S. Southwest's Recent Shift Into Drier Conditions.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 12, p. 6251, doi. 10.1029/2018GL078312

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Deser, Clara;
Simpson, Isla R.;
Terray, Laurent

Publication type:

Article

Mitigating the Impacts of Climate Nonstationarity on Seasonal Streamflow Predictability in the U.S. Southwest.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 24, p. 12,208, doi. 10.1002/2017GL076043

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Wood, Andrew W.;
Llewellyn, Dagmar;
Blatchford, Douglas B.;
Goodbody, Angus G.;
Pappenberger, Florian

Publication type:

Article

Removing Circulation Effects to Assess Central U.S. Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the CESM Large Ensemble.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 19, p. 9938, doi. 10.1002/2017GL074831

By:

Merrifield, Anna;
Lehner, Flavio;
Xie, Shang-Ping;
Deser, Clara

Publication type:

Article

The relative contributions of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and atmospheric internal variability to the recent global warming hiatus.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 15, p. 7945, doi. 10.1002/2017GL074273

By:

Deser, Clara;
Guo, Ruixia;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Projected drought risk in 1.5°C and 2°C warmer climates.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 14, p. 7419, doi. 10.1002/2017GL074117

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Coats, Sloan;
Stocker, Thomas F.;
Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Sanderson, Benjamin M.;
Raible, Christoph C.;
Smerdon, Jason E.

Publication type:

Article

Assessing recent declines in Upper Rio Grande runoff efficiency from a paleoclimate perspective.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 9, p. 4124, doi. 10.1002/2017GL073253

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Wahl, Eugene R.;
Wood, Andrew W.;
Blatchford, Douglas B.;
Llewellyn, Dagmar

Publication type:

Article

The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2016, v. 43, n. 6, p. 2851, doi. 10.1002/2016GL067935

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Schurer, Andrew P.;
Hegerl, Gabriele C.;
Deser, Clara;
Frölicher, Thomas L.

Publication type:

Article

Intensification of tropical Pacific biological productivity due to volcanic eruptions.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2016, v. 43, n. 3, p. 1184, doi. 10.1002/2015GL067359

By:

Chikamoto, Megumi O.;
Timmermann, Axel;
Yoshimori, Masakazu;
Lehner, Flavio;
Laurian, Audine;
Abe-Ouchi, Ayako;
Mouchet, Anne;
Joos, Fortunat;
Raible, Christoph C.;
Cobb, Kim M.

Publication type:

Article

Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2015, v. 42, n. 20, p. 8767, doi. 10.1002/2015GL065854

By:

Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Sanderson, Benjamin M.;
Xu, Yangyang

Publication type:

Article

Detecting changes in marine responses to ENSO from 850 to 2100 C.E.: Insights fromthe ocean carbon cycle.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2015, v. 42, n. 2, p. 518, doi. 10.1002/2014GL062398

By:

Kelle, Kathrin M.;
Joos, Fortunat;
Lehner, Flavio;
Raible, Christoph C.

Publication type:

Article

A model-tested North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction for the past millennium.

Published in:

Nature, 2015, v. 523, n. 7558, p. 71, doi. 10.1038/nature14518

By:

Ortega, Pablo;
Lehner, Flavio;
Swingedouw, Didier;
Masson-Delmotte, Valerie;
Raible, Christoph C.;
Casado, Mathieu;
Yiou, Pascal

Publication type:

Article

Identifying Robust Decarbonization Pathways for the Western U.S. Electric Power System Under Deep Climate Uncertainty.

Published in:

Earth's Future, 2024, v. 12, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024EF004769

By:

Sundar, Srihari;
Lehner, Flavio;
Voisin, Nathalie;
Craig, Michael T.

Publication type:

Article

Robustness of CMIP6 Historical Global Mean Temperature Simulations: Trends, Long‐Term Persistence, Autocorrelation, and Distributional Shape.

Published in:

Earth's Future, 2020, v. 8, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020EF001667

By:

Papalexiou, Simon Michael;
Rajulapati, Chandra Rupa;
Clark, Martyn P.;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation Decision‐Making.

Published in:

Earth's Future, 2020, v. 8, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020EF001610

By:

Mankin, Justin S.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Coats, Sloan;
McKinnon, Karen A.

Publication type:

Article

Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2022, v. 13, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-022-31425-x

By:

Lanson, Alexandrine;
Pfleiderer, Peter;
Lehner, Flavio;
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich

Publication type:

Article

Optimizing WRF-Hydro Calibration in the Himalayan Basin: Precipitation Influence and Parameter Sensitivity Analysis.

Published in:

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2025, v. 26, n. 3, p. 345, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-24-0096.1

By:

Dixit, Ankur;
Sahany, Sandeep;
Mishra, Saroj Kanta;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Extratropical cyclone statistics during the last millennium and the 21st century.

Published in:

Climate of the Past, 2018, v. 14, n. 10, p. 1499, doi. 10.5194/cp-14-1499-2018

By:

Raible, Christoph C.;
Messmer, Martina;
Lehner, Flavio;
Stocker, Thomas F.;
Blender, Richard

Publication type:

Article

When is a trend meaningful? Insights to carbon cycle variability from an initial-condition large ensemble.

Published in:

NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2024, v. 7, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-024-00878-w

By:

Bonan, Gordon B.;
Deser, Clara;
Wieder, William R.;
Lombardozzi, Danica L.;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding future climate and its uncertainties.

Published in:

Scientific Data, 2024, v. 11, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41597-024-04205-z

By:

Hartke, Samantha H.;
Newman, Andrew J.;
Gutmann, Ethan;
McCrary, Rachel;
Lybarger, Nicholas D.;
Lehner, Flavio

Publication type:

Article

Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2023, v. 14, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5

By:

Bevacqua, Emanuele;
Suarez-Gutierrez, Laura;
Jézéquel, Aglaé;
Lehner, Flavio;
Vrac, Mathieu;
Yiou, Pascal;
Zscheischler, Jakob

Publication type:

Article

Amplified Inception of European Little Ice Age by Sea Ice-Ocean-Atmosphere Feedbacks.

Published in:

Journal of Climate, 2013, v. 26, n. 19, p. 7586, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00690.1

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Born, Andreas;
Raible, Christoph C.;
Stocker, Thomas F.

Publication type:

Article

Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence.

Published in:

Climatic Change, 2021, v. 166, n. 1/2, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s10584-021-03052-w

By:

Ciavarella, Andrew;
Cotterill, Daniel;
Stott, Peter;
Kew, Sarah;
Philip, Sjoukje;
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;
Skålevåg, Amalie;
Lorenz, Philip;
Robin, Yoann;
Otto, Friederike;
Hauser, Mathias;
Seneviratne, Sonia I.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Zolina, Olga

Publication type:

Article

Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change.

Published in:

Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2020, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/nhess-2020-69

By:

van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;
Krikken, Folmer;
Lewis, Sophie;
Leach, Nicholas J.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Saunders, Kate R.;
van Weele, Michiel;
Haustein, Karsten;
Sihan Li;
Wallom, David;
Sparrow, Sarah;
Arrighi, Julie;
Singh, Roop P.;
van Aalst, Maarten K.;
Philip, Sjoukje Y.;
Vautard, Robert;
Otto, Friederike E. L.

Publication type:

Article

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018.

Published in:

Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2019, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/nhess-2019-206

By:

Krikken, Folmer;
Lehner, Flavio;
Haustein, Karsten;
Drobyshev, Igor;
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan

Publication type:

Article

Higher precipitation in East Asia and western United States expected with future Southern Ocean warming.

Published in:

Nature Geoscience, 2025, v. 18, n. 4, p. 313, doi. 10.1038/s41561-025-01669-5

By:

Kim, Hanjun;
Kang, Sarah M.;
Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Shin, Yechul;
Ceppi, Paulo;
Yeh, Sang-Wook;
Song, Se-Yong

Publication type:

Article

Theory and the future of land-climate science.

Published in:

Nature Geoscience, 2024, v. 17, n. 11, p. 1079, doi. 10.1038/s41561-024-01553-8

By:

Byrne, Michael P.;
Hegerl, Gabriele C.;
Scheff, Jacob;
Adam, Ori;
Berg, Alexis;
Biasutti, Michela;
Bordoni, Simona;
Dai, Aiguo;
Geen, Ruth;
Henry, Matthew;
Hill, Spencer A.;
Hohenegger, Cathy;
Humphrey, Vincent;
Joshi, Manoj;
Konings, Alexandra G.;
Laguë, Marysa M.;
Lambert, F. Hugo;
Lehner, Flavio;
Mankin, Justin S.;
McColl, Kaighin A.

Publication type:

Article

Latent Linear Adjustment Autoencoder v1.0: a novel method for estimating and emulating dynamic precipitation at high resolution.

Published in:

Geoscientific Model Development, 2021, v. 14, n. 8, p. 4977, doi. 10.5194/gmd-14-4977-2021

By:

Heinze-Deml, Christina;
Sippel, Sebastian;
Pendergrass, Angeline G.;
Lehner, Flavio;
Meinshausen, Nicolai

Publication type:

Article

The Stationarity of Dynamically-Driven European Temperature Variability in N x CO2 Multi-Century Simulation Ensembles.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Merrifield, Anna;
Fischer, Erich;
Lehner, Flavio;
Sippel, Sebastian;
Deser, Clara;
Knutti, Reto

Publication type:

Article

Attribution of the role of global warming in the forest fires in Sweden 2018.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Krikken, Folmer;
Lehner, Flavio;
Drobyshev, Igor;
van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan

Publication type:

Article

Uncovering the forced climate response from observations or a single model run using statistical learning.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Sippel, Sebastian;
Nicolai, Meinshausen;
Anna, Merrifield;
Flavio, Lehner;
G., Pendergrass Angeline;
Erich, Fischer;
Reto, Knutti

Publication type:

Article

Extreme extratropical cyclone characteristics during the last millennium and the future.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2018, v. 20, p. 4269

By:

Raible, Christoph C.;
Messmer, Martina;
Lehner, Flavio;
Stocker, Thomas F.;
Blender, Richard

Publication type:

Article

The Benefits of Reduced Anthropogenic Climate changE (BRACE): a synthesis.

Published in:

Climatic Change, 2018, v. 146, n. 3/4, p. 287, doi. 10.1007/s10584-017-2009-x

By:

O’Neill, Brian C.;
M. Done, James;
Gettelman, Andrew;
Lawrence, Peter;
Lehner, Flavio;
Lamarque, Jean-Francois;
Lin, Lei;
J. Monaghan, Andrew;
Oleson, Keith;
Ren, Xiaolin;
M. Sanderson, Benjamin;
Tebaldi, Claudia;
Weitzel, Matthias;
Xu, Yangyang;
Anderson, Brooke;
Fix, Miranda J.;
Levis, Samuel

Publication type:

Article

Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation.

Published in:

Climatic Change, 2018, v. 146, n. 3/4, p. 363, doi. 10.1007/s10584-016-1616-2

By:

Lehner, Flavio;
Deser, Clara;
Sanderson, Benjamin M.

Publication type:

Article