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The Impact of Projected Changes in Hurricane Frequencies on U.S. Hurricane Wind and Surge Damage.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology, 2023, v. 62, n. 12, p. 1827, doi. 10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0087.1
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- Article
A new simulation algorithm for more precise estimates of change in catastrophe risk models, with application to hurricanes and climate change.
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- Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 2023, v. 37, n. 7, p. 2631, doi. 10.1007/s00477-023-02409-0
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- Article
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change: Global Landfall Frequency Projections Derived from Knutson et al.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 104, n. 5, p. E1085, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0189.1
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- Article
Developing Representative Impact Scenarios From Climate Projection Ensembles, With Application to UKCP18 and EURO‐CORDEX Precipitation.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023, v. 15, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022MS003038
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Conversion of the Knutson et al. Tropical Cyclone Frequency Projections to North Atlantic Landfall.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology, 2022, v. 61, n. 10, p. 1419, doi. 10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0056.1
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Application of uncertain hurricane climate change projections to catastrophe risk models.
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- Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 2022, v. 36, n. 10, p. 3355, doi. 10.1007/s00477-022-02198-y
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- Article
Interpretation of the Knutson et al. (2020) hurricane projections, the impact on annual maximum wind-speed, and the role of uncertainty.
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- Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 2022, v. 36, n. 7, p. 1885, doi. 10.1007/s00477-021-02142-6
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- Article
Adaptive Smoothing of the Ensemble Mean of Climate Model Output for Improved Projections of Future Rainfall.
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- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/npg-2022-7
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- Article
Communicating Properties of Changes in Lagged Weather Forecasts.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2022, v. 37, n. 1, p. 125, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0086.1
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Conversion of the Knutson et al. Tropical Cyclone Climate Change Projections to Risk Model Baselines.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology, 2021, v. 60, n. 11, p. 1517, doi. 10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0102.1
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Estimating present‐day European seasonal mean rainfall by combining historical data and climate model simulations, for risk assessment.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2021, v. 28, n. 6, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/met.2031
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Robust Worst-Case Scenarios from Ensemble Forecasts.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2021, v. 36, n. 4, p. 1357, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0219.1
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Dealing with trend uncertainty in empirical estimates of European rainfall climate for insurance risk management.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2021, v. 28, n. 4, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/met.2008
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Improving the potential accuracy and usability of EURO-CORDEX estimates of future rainfall climate using frequentist model averaging.
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- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2021, v. 28, n. 3, p. 329, doi. 10.5194/npg-28-329-2021
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Decide Now or Wait for the Next Forecast? Testing a Decision Framework Using Real Forecasts and Observations.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 6, p. 1637, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0392.1
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Improving the Potential Accuracy and Usability of EURO-CORDEX Estimates of Future Rainfall Climate using Mean Squared Error Model Averaging.
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- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 2021, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/npg-2021-12
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- Article
An Alternative to PCA for Estimating Dominant Patterns of Climate Variability and Extremes, with Application to U.S. and China Seasonal Rainfall.
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- Atmosphere, 2020, v. 11, n. 4, p. 354, doi. 10.3390/atmos11040354
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Adjusting catastrophe model ensembles using importance sampling, with application to damage estimation for varying levels of hurricane activity.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2020, v. 27, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/met.1839
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Modulation of Economic Losses From European Floods by the North Atlantic Oscillation.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 5, p. 2563, doi. 10.1029/2019GL081956
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Quantifying the sources of simulation uncertainty in natural catastrophe models.
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- Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 2018, v. 32, n. 3, p. 591, doi. 10.1007/s00477-017-1393-0
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- Article
Interannual temperature predictions using the CMIP3 multi-model ensemble mean.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2008, v. 35, n. 10, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2008GL033576
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Comparison of Local and Basinwide Methods for Risk Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Landfall.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology, 2008, v. 47, n. 2, p. 361, doi. 10.1175/2007JAMC1720.1
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Estimating Trends in Weather Series: Consequences for Pricing Derivatives.
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- Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2006, v. 10, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.2202/1558-3708.1386
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Introduction to Weather Derivative Pricing.
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- Journal of Alternative Investments, 2004, v. 7, n. 2, p. 57, doi. 10.3905/jai.2004.439646
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A new parametric model for the assessment and calibration of medium-range ensemble temperature forecasts.
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- Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ), 2004, v. 5, n. 5, p. 96, doi. 10.1002/asl.69
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Seasonality in the statistics of surface air temperature and the pricing of weather derivatives.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2003, v. 10, n. 4, p. 367
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The use of weather forecasts in the pricing of weather derivatives.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2003, v. 10, n. 4, p. 377
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Weather Swap Pricing and the Optimal Size for Medium-Range Forecast Ensembles.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2003, v. 18, n. 4, p. 675, doi. 10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<0675:WSPATO>2.0.CO;2
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Using ensemble forecasts to predict the size of forecast changes, with application to weather swap value at risk.
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- Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ), 2003, v. 4, n. 1-4, p. 15, doi. 10.1016/S1530-261X(03)00003-3
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- Article
The North Atlantic Oscillation-what role for the Ocean?
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- Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ), 2000, v. 1, n. 2, p. 89, doi. 10.1006/asle.2000.0018
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- Article