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Improving National Blend of Models Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Long Time Series of Reforecasts and Precipitation Reanalyses. Part I: Methods.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2023, v. 151, n. 6, p. 1521, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0308.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Improving National Blend of Models Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Long Time Series of Reforecasts and Precipitation Reanalyses. Part II: Results.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2023, v. 151, n. 6, p. 1535, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0310.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
A Multi-Temporal-Scale Modulation Mechanism for the Postprocessing of Precipitation Ensemble Forecasts: Benefits for Streamflow Forecasting.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2023, v. 24, n. 4, p. 659, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0119.1
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- Article
Challenges and Opportunities in Numerical Weather Prediction.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 104, n. 3, p. E698, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0172.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Predicting Subseasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity Using NOAA and ECMWF Reforecasts.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2023, v. 38, n. 2, p. 357, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-22-0124.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Improving Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Using Short Training Data through Artificial Neural Networks.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2022, v. 23, n. 9, p. 1365, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-22-0021.1
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- Article
A New Methodology to Produce More Skillful United States Cool-Season Precipitation Forecasts.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2022, v. 23, n. 6, p. 991, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0235.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Objective Methods for Thinning the Frequency of Reforecasts while Meeting Postprocessing and Model Validation Needs.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2022, v. 37, n. 5, p. 727, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0162.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
GEFSv12 Reforecast Dataset for Supporting Subseasonal and Hydrometeorological Applications.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 3, p. 647, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0245.1
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- Article
The Reanalysis for the Global Ensemble Forecast System, Version 12.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 1, p. 59, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0023.1
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- Article
Comparing and Combining Deterministic Surface Temperature Postprocessing Methods over the United States.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 10, p. 3289, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-21-0027.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Improving Ensemble Weather Prediction System Initialization: Disentangling the Contributions from Model Systematic Errors and Initial Perturbation Size.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2021, v. 149, n. 1, p. 77, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0119.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Precipitation Downscaling with Gibbs Sampling: An Improved Method for Producing Realistic, Weather-Dependent, and Anisotropic Fields.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2020, v. 21, n. 11, p. 2487, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0069.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Using Artificial Neural Networks for Generating Probabilistic Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts over California.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2020, v. 148, n. 8, p. 3489, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0096.1
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- Article
Present and Past Sea Surface Temperatures: A Recipe for Better Seasonal Climate Forecasts.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 4, p. 1221, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0241.1
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- Article
Accounting for Representativeness in the Verification of Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2020, v. 148, n. 5, p. 2049, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0323.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Extended-Range Probabilistic Fire-Weather Forecasting Based on Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Ensemble Copula Coupling.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2020, v. 148, n. 2, p. 499, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0217.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Benchmarking the Raw Model-Generated Background Forecast in Rapidly Updated Surface Temperature Analyses. Part I: Stations.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2020, v. 148, n. 2, p. 689, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0027.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Benchmarking the Raw Model-Generated Background Forecast in Rapidly Updated Surface Temperature Analyses. Part II: Gridded Benchmark.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2020, v. 148, n. 2, p. 701, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0028.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Statistical postprocessing of dual‐resolution ensemble precipitation forecasts across Europe.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 145, n. 724, p. 3218, doi. 10.1002/qj.3615
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- Publication type:
- Article
Towards Probabilistic Multivariate ENSO Monitoring.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 17/18, p. 10532, doi. 10.1029/2019GL083946
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- Publication type:
- Article
Land Surface Parameter and State Perturbations in the Global Ensemble Forecast System.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 4, p. 1319, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0057.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Forecasting of Snowfall Amounts Using a Hybrid between a Parametric and an Analog Approach.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2019, v. 147, n. 3, p. 1047, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0273.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast Postprocessing Using Quantile Mapping and Rank-Weighted Best-Member Dressing.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2018, v. 146, n. 12, p. 4079, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0147.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Generating Calibrated Ensembles of Physically Realistic, High-Resolution Precipitation Forecast Fields Based on GEFS Model Output.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2018, v. 19, n. 10, p. 1651, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0067.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Generating wind power scenarios for probabilistic ramp event prediction using multivariate statistical post-processing.
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- Wind Energy Science, 2018, v. 3, n. 1, p. 371, doi. 10.5194/wes-3-371-2018
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- Publication type:
- Article
The U.S. National Blend of Models for Statistical Postprocessing of Probability of Precipitation and Deterministic Precipitation Amount.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 9, p. 3441, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0331.1
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- Article
COUPLED DATA ASSIMILATION FOR INTEGRATED EARTH SYSTEM ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION.
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- 2017
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- Publication type:
- Proceeding
Changes in the Systematic Errors of Global Reforecasts due to an Evolving Data Assimilation System.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 7, p. 2479, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0067.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Precipitation-Type Forecasting Based on GEFS Ensemble Forecasts of Vertical Temperature Profiles.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2017, v. 145, n. 4, p. 1401, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0321.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
A method for preferential selection of dates in the Schaake shuffle approach to constructing spatiotemporal forecast fields of temperature and precipitation.
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- Water Resources Research, 2017, v. 53, n. 4, p. 3029, doi. 10.1002/2016WR020133
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- Article
Comparison of Global Precipitation Estimates across a Range of Temporal and Spatial Scales.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 21, p. 7773, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0618.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Inaccuracies with Multimodel Postprocessing Methods Involving Weighted, Regression-Corrected Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2016, v. 144, n. 4, p. 1649, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0204.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Aspects of ECMWF model performance in polar areas.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2016, v. 142, n. 695, Part B, p. 583, doi. 10.1002/qj.2449
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- Article
The TIGGE Project and Its Achievements.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2016, v. 97, n. 1, p. 49, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00191.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts by Fitting Censored, Shifted Gamma Distributions*.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 11, p. 4578, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0061.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Diagnosis of Track Forecast Errors for Tropical Cyclone Rita (2005) Using GEFS Reforecasts.
- Published in:
- Weather & Forecasting, 2015, v. 30, n. 5, p. 1334, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0036.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
The Utility of the NOAA Reforecast Dataset for Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting over the Coastal Western United States.
- Published in:
- Journal of Operational Meteorology, 2015, p. 133, doi. 10.15191/nwajom.2015.0312
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- Publication type:
- Article
Solar Energy Prediction: An International Contest to Initiate Interdisciplinary Research on Compelling Meteorological Problems.
- Published in:
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2015, v. 96, n. 8, p. 1388, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00006.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Analog Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using GEFS Reforecasts and Climatology-Calibrated Precipitation Analyses*.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 8, p. 3300, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0004.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Variogram-Based Proper Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Forecasts of Multivariate Quantities*.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 4, p. 1321, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00269.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Climatology and Environmental Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation Events in the Southeastern United States.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 3, p. 718, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00065.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Diagnosis of the Source of GFS Medium-Range Track Errors in Hurricane Sandy (2012).
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 1, p. 132, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00086.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Verification of Quantitative Precipitation Reforecasts over the Southeastern United States.
- Published in:
- Weather & Forecasting, 2014, v. 29, n. 5, p. 1199, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-14-00055.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Performance of Operational Model Precipitation Forecast Guidance during the 2013 Colorado Front-Range Floods*.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2014, v. 142, n. 8, p. 2609, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00007.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Skill of the MJO and Northern Hemisphere Blocking in GEFS Medium-Range Reforecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2014, v. 142, n. 2, p. 868, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00199.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Evaluation of Forecasts of the Water Vapor Signature of Atmospheric Rivers in Operational Numerical Weather Prediction Models.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2013, v. 28, n. 6, p. 1337, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00025.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset.
- Published in:
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2013, v. 94, n. 10, p. 1553, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00014.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Impact of Targeted Winter Storm Reconnaissance Dropwindsonde Data on Midlatitude Numerical Weather Predictions.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 6, p. 2058, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00309.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2012, v. 138, n. 668, p. 1814, doi. 10.1002/qj.1895
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- Publication type:
- Article