Works by Gneiting, Tilmann

Results: 53

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: equivalences, beta model, and minimum distance estimation.

Published in:

Machine Learning, 2022, v. 111, n. 6, p. 2147, doi. 10.1007/s10994-021-06115-2

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Vogel, Peter

Publication type:

Article

On The Uncertainty Relation for Positive-Definite Probability Densities, II.

Published in:

Statistics, 1999, v. 33, n. 3, p. 267, doi. 10.1080/02331889908802694

By:

Ehm, Werner;
Tilmann, Gneiting;
Donald, Richards

Publication type:

Article

On the Uncertainty Relation for Positive Definite Probability Densities.

Published in:

Statistics, 1998, v. 31, n. 1, p. 83, doi. 10.1080/02331889808802628

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Improved Bounds for Laue's Constant and Multivariate Extensions.

Published in:

Mathematische Nachrichten, 2001, v. 228, n. 1, p. 109, doi. 10.1002/1522-2616(200108)228:1<109::AID-MANA109>3.0.CO;2-V

By:

Dreier, Ilona;
Ehm, Werner;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Richards, Donald

Publication type:

Article

Decomposition Theorems for α -- Symmetric Positive Definite Functions.

Published in:

Mathematische Nachrichten, 1999, v. 208, n. 1, p. 117, doi. 10.1002/mana.3212080106

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.

Published in:

PLoS Computational Biology, 2021, v. 17, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618

By:

Bracher, Johannes;
Ray, Evan L.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Reich, Nicholas G.

Publication type:

Article

Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, v. 48, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020GL091022

By:

Vogel, Peter;
Knippertz, Peter;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Fink, Andreas H.;
Klar, Manuel;
Schlueter, Andreas

Publication type:

Article

Grid‐ Versus Station‐Based Postprocessing of Ensemble Temperature Forecasts.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 13, p. 7744, doi. 10.1029/2019GL083189

By:

Feldmann, Kira;
Richardson, David S.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules.

Published in:

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2011, v. 29, n. 3, p. 411, doi. 10.1198/jbes.2010.08110

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Ranjan, Roopesh

Publication type:

Article

Identifiability of Finite Mixtures of Elliptical Distributions.

Published in:

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2006, v. 33, n. 4, p. 753, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2006.00505.x

By:

HOLZMANN, HAJO;
MUNK, AXEL;
GNEITING, TILMANN

Publication type:

Article

Correlation functions for atmospheric data analysis.

Published in:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1999, v. 125, n. 559, p. 2449, doi. 10.1002/qj.49712555906

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

GAUSSIAN RANDOM PARTICLES WITH FLEXIBLE HAUSDORFF DIMENSION.

Published in:

Advances in Applied Probability, 2015, v. 47, n. 2, p. 307, doi. 10.1239/aap/1435236977

By:

HANSEN, LINDA V.;
THORARINSDOTTIR, THORDIS L.;
OVCHAROV, EVGENI;
GNEITING, TILMANN;
RICHARDS, DONALD

Publication type:

Article

Vorhersagen sind schwer, vor allem die Zukunft betreffend: Kurzzeitprognosen in der Pandemie.

Published in:

Mitteilungen der DMV, 2021, v. 29, n. 4, p. 186, doi. 10.1515/dmvm-2021-0073

By:

Bracher, Johannes;
Wolffram, Daniel;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Schienle, Melanie

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting in R.

Published in:

R Journal, 2011, v. 3, n. 1, p. 55, doi. 10.32614/RJ-2011-009

By:

Fraley, Chris;
Raftery, Adrian;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Sloughter, McLean;
Berrocal, Veronica

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 6, p. 2107, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00002.1

By:

McLean Sloughter, J.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Raftery, Adrian E.

Publication type:

Article

Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind Vectors.

Published in:

2012

By:

Schuhen, Nina;
Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Case Study

Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Temperature Forecasting Using Geostatistical Model Averaging and Local Bayesian Model Averaging.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2011, v. 139, n. 8, p. 2630, doi. 10.1175/2010MWR3511.1

By:

Kleiber, William;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Baars, Jeffrey;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Mass, Clifford F.;
Grimit, Eric

Publication type:

Article

Calibrating Multimodel Forecast Ensembles with Exchangeable and Missing Members Using Bayesian Model Averaging.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2010, v. 138, n. 1, p. 190, doi. 10.1175/2009MWR3046.1

By:

Fraley, Chris;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Bayesian Model Averaging.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 9, p. 3209, doi. 10.1175/MWR3441.1

By:

Sloughter, J. McLean;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Fraley, Chris

Publication type:

Article

Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 4, p. 1386, doi. 10.1175/MWR3341.1

By:

Berrocal, Veronica J.;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2005, v. 133, n. 5, p. 1098, doi. 10.1175/MWR2904.1

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Westveld III, Anton H.;
Goldman, Tom

Publication type:

Article

Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2005, v. 133, n. 5, p. 1155, doi. 10.1175/MWR2906.1

By:

Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Balabdaoui, Fadoua;
Polakowski, Michael

Publication type:

Article

Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall in the Tropics.

Published in:

Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 6, p. 2367, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0082.1

By:

VOGEL, PETER;
KNIPPERTZ, PETER;
FINK, ANDREAS H.;
SCHLUETER, ANDREAS;
GNEITING, TILMANN

Publication type:

Article

Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall over Northern Tropical Africa.

Published in:

Weather & Forecasting, 2018, v. 33, n. 2, p. 369, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-17-0127.1

By:

Vogel, Peter;
Knippertz, Peter;
Fink, Andreas H.;
Schlueter, Andreas;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Sources of predictability of synoptic-scale rainfall during the West African summer monsoon.

Published in:

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 149, n. 757, p. 3721, doi. 10.1002/qj.4581

By:

Satheesh, Athul Rasheeda;
Knippertz, Peter;
Fink, Andreas H.;
Walz, Eva-Maria;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions in the Tropics.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1

By:

Vogel, Peter;
Knippertz, Peter;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Fink, Andreas H.;
Schlueter, Andreas

Publication type:

Article

Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output.

Published in:

International Statistical Review, 2021, v. 89, n. 2, p. 274, doi. 10.1111/insr.12405

By:

Krüger, Fabian;
Lerch, Sebastian;
Thorarinsdottir, Thordis;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021.

Published in:

PLoS Computational Biology, 2024, v. 20, n. 5, p. 1, doi. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200

By:

Lopez, Velma K.;
Cramer, Estee Y.;
Pagano, Robert;
Drake, John M.;
O'Dea, Eamon B.;
Adee, Madeline;
Ayer, Turgay;
Chhatwal, Jagpreet;
Dalgic, Ozden O.;
Ladd, Mary A.;
Linas, Benjamin P.;
Mueller, Peter P.;
Xiao, Jade;
Bracher, Johannes;
Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J.;
Gerding, Aaron;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Huang, Yuxin;
Jayawardena, Dasuni;
Kanji, Abdul H.

Publication type:

Article

Isotonic distributional regression.

Published in:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2021, v. 83, n. 5, p. 963, doi. 10.1111/rssb.12450

By:

Henzi, Alexander;
Ziegel, Johanna F.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings.

Published in:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2016, v. 78, n. 3, p. 505, doi. 10.1111/rssb.12154

By:

Ehm, Werner;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Jordan, Alexander;
Krüger, Fabian

Publication type:

Article

Combining probability forecasts.

Published in:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2010, v. 72, n. 1, p. 71, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2009.00726.x

By:

Ranjan, Roopesh;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness.

Published in:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2007, v. 69, n. 2, p. 243, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Balabdaoui, Fadoua;
Raftery, Adrian E.

Publication type:

Article

Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive.

Published in:

Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2021, v. 36, n. 6, p. 728, doi. 10.1002/jae.2833

By:

Schmidt, Patrick;
Katzfuss, Matthias;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIX On the Matérn correlation family.

Published in:

Biometrika, 2006, v. 93, n. 4, p. 989, doi. 10.1093/biomet/93.4.989

By:

Guttorp, Peter;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

When is the mode functional the Bayes classifier?

Published in:

Stat, 2017, v. 6, n. 1, p. 204, doi. 10.1002/sta4.148

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression.

Published in:

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 2010, v. 173, n. 2, p. 371, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00616.x

By:

Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Editorial: Probabilistic forecasting.

Published in:

2008

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Editorial

PROBCAST A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts.

Published in:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2009, v. 90, n. 7, p. 1009, doi. 10.1175/2009BAMS2775.1

By:

Mass, Clifford;
Joslyn, Susan;
Pyle, John;
Tewson, Patrick;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Raftery, Adrian;
Baars, Jeff;
Sloughter, J . M.;
Jones, David;
Fraley, Chris

Publication type:

Article

Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2011, v. 106, n. 494, p. 746, doi. 10.1198/jasa.2011.r10138

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Matérn Cross-Covariance Functions for Multivariate Random Fields.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2010, v. 105, n. 491, p. 1167, doi. 10.1198/jasa.2010.tm09420

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Kleiber, William;
Schlather, Martin

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2010, v. 105, n. 490, p. 522, doi. 10.1198/jasa.2009.ap07184

By:

Berrocal, Veronica J.;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Steed, Richard C.

Publication type:

Article

Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2010, v. 105, n. 489, p. 25, doi. 10.1198/jasa.2009.ap08615

By:

Sloughter, J. McLean;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Raftery, Adrian E.

Publication type:

Article

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2007, v. 102, n. 477, p. 359, doi. 10.1198/016214506000001437

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann;
Raftery, Adrian E.

Publication type:

Article

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Stateline Wind Energy Center: The Regime-Switching Space-Time Method.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2006, v. 101, n. 475, p. 968, doi. 10.1198/016214506000000456

By:

GNEITING, TILMANN;
LARSON, KRISTIN;
WESTRICK, KENNETH;
GENTON, MARC G.;
ALDRICH, ERIC

Publication type:

Article

Rejoinder.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2004, v. 99, n. 467, p. 588, doi. 10.1198/016214504000000953

By:

Gel, Yulia;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Berrocal, Veronica J.

Publication type:

Article

Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation Method.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2004, v. 99, n. 467, p. 575, doi. 10.1198/016214504000000872

By:

Gel, Yulia;
Raftery, Adrian E.;
Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space-Time Data.

Published in:

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2002, v. 97, n. 458, p. 590, doi. 10.1198/016214502760047113

By:

Gneiting, Tilmann

Publication type:

Article

Correction: Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.

Published in:

2022

By:

Bracher, Johannes;
Ray, Evan L.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Reich, Nicholas G.

Publication type:

Correction Notice

Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data.

Published in:

Biometrics, 2009, v. 65, n. 4, p. 1254, doi. 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01191.x

By:

Czado, Claudia;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Held, Leonhard

Publication type:

Article

Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts.

Published in:

Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2024, v. 76, n. 1, p. 47, doi. 10.1007/s10463-023-00875-5

By:

Brehmer, Jonas R.;
Gneiting, Tilmann;
Herrmann, Marcus;
Marzocchi, Warner;
Schlather, Martin;
Strokorb, Kirstin

Publication type:

Article