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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021.
- Published in:
- PLoS Computational Biology, 2024, v. 20, n. 5, p. 1, doi. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200
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- Publication type:
- Article
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts.
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- Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2024, v. 76, n. 1, p. 47, doi. 10.1007/s10463-023-00875-5
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- Publication type:
- Article
Sources of predictability of synoptic-scale rainfall during the West African summer monsoon.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 149, n. 757, p. 3721, doi. 10.1002/qj.4581
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- Article
Correction: Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
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- 2022
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- Publication type:
- Correction Notice
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: equivalences, beta model, and minimum distance estimation.
- Published in:
- Machine Learning, 2022, v. 111, n. 6, p. 2147, doi. 10.1007/s10994-021-06115-2
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- Publication type:
- Article
Vorhersagen sind schwer, vor allem die Zukunft betreffend: Kurzzeitprognosen in der Pandemie.
- Published in:
- Mitteilungen der DMV, 2021, v. 29, n. 4, p. 186, doi. 10.1515/dmvm-2021-0073
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- Article
Isotonic distributional regression.
- Published in:
- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2021, v. 83, n. 5, p. 963, doi. 10.1111/rssb.12450
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- Publication type:
- Article
Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive.
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- Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2021, v. 36, n. 6, p. 728, doi. 10.1002/jae.2833
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- Article
Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output.
- Published in:
- International Statistical Review, 2021, v. 89, n. 2, p. 274, doi. 10.1111/insr.12405
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- Article
Statistical Forecasts for the Occurrence of Precipitation Outperform Global Models over Northern Tropical Africa.
- Published in:
- Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, v. 48, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020GL091022
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- Article
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
- Published in:
- PLoS Computational Biology, 2021, v. 17, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618
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- Publication type:
- Article
Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall in the Tropics.
- Published in:
- Weather & Forecasting, 2020, v. 35, n. 6, p. 2367, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0082.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Properization: constructing proper scoring rules via Bayes acts.
- Published in:
- Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2020, v. 72, n. 3, p. 659, doi. 10.1007/s10463-019-00705-7
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- Publication type:
- Article
Grid‐ Versus Station‐Based Postprocessing of Ensemble Temperature Forecasts.
- Published in:
- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 13, p. 7744, doi. 10.1029/2019GL083189
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- Publication type:
- Article
Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions in the Tropics.
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- Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2019, v. 21, p. 1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Skill of Global Raw and Postprocessed Ensemble Predictions of Rainfall over Northern Tropical Africa.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2018, v. 33, n. 2, p. 369, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-17-0127.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
When is the mode functional the Bayes classifier?
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- Stat, 2017, v. 6, n. 1, p. 204, doi. 10.1002/sta4.148
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- Article
Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings.
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- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2016, v. 78, n. 3, p. 505, doi. 10.1111/rssb.12154
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- Publication type:
- Article
GAUSSIAN RANDOM PARTICLES WITH FLEXIBLE HAUSDORFF DIMENSION.
- Published in:
- Advances in Applied Probability, 2015, v. 47, n. 2, p. 307, doi. 10.1239/aap/1435236977
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting Using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 6, p. 2107, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00002.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Ensemble Model Output Statistics for Wind Vectors.
- Published in:
- 2012
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- Publication type:
- Case Study
Locally Calibrated Probabilistic Temperature Forecasting Using Geostatistical Model Averaging and Local Bayesian Model Averaging.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2011, v. 139, n. 8, p. 2630, doi. 10.1175/2010MWR3511.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting in R.
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- R Journal, 2011, v. 3, n. 1, p. 55, doi. 10.32614/RJ-2011-009
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression.
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- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 2010, v. 173, n. 2, p. 371, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00616.x
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- Publication type:
- Article
Combining probability forecasts.
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- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2010, v. 72, n. 1, p. 71, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2009.00726.x
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- Publication type:
- Article
Calibrating Multimodel Forecast Ensembles with Exchangeable and Missing Members Using Bayesian Model Averaging.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2010, v. 138, n. 1, p. 190, doi. 10.1175/2009MWR3046.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data.
- Published in:
- Biometrics, 2009, v. 65, n. 4, p. 1254, doi. 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01191.x
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- Publication type:
- Article
PROBCAST A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts.
- Published in:
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2009, v. 90, n. 7, p. 1009, doi. 10.1175/2009BAMS2775.1
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- Article
Editorial: Probabilistic forecasting.
- Published in:
- 2008
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- Publication type:
- Editorial
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Bayesian Model Averaging.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 9, p. 3209, doi. 10.1175/MWR3441.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 4, p. 1386, doi. 10.1175/MWR3341.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness.
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- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2007, v. 69, n. 2, p. 243, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9868.2007.00587.x
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- Publication type:
- Article
Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIX On the Matérn correlation family.
- Published in:
- Biometrika, 2006, v. 93, n. 4, p. 989, doi. 10.1093/biomet/93.4.989
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- Publication type:
- Article
Identifiability of Finite Mixtures of Elliptical Distributions.
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- Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2006, v. 33, n. 4, p. 753, doi. 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2006.00505.x
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- Publication type:
- Article
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation.
- Published in:
- Monthly Weather Review, 2005, v. 133, n. 5, p. 1098, doi. 10.1175/MWR2904.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Using Bayesian Model Averaging to Calibrate Forecast Ensembles.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2005, v. 133, n. 5, p. 1155, doi. 10.1175/MWR2906.1
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- Publication type:
- Article
Improved Bounds for Laue's Constant and Multivariate Extensions.
- Published in:
- Mathematische Nachrichten, 2001, v. 228, n. 1, p. 109, doi. 10.1002/1522-2616(200108)228:1<109::AID-MANA109>3.0.CO;2-V
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- Publication type:
- Article
Decomposition Theorems for α -- Symmetric Positive Definite Functions.
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- Mathematische Nachrichten, 1999, v. 208, n. 1, p. 117, doi. 10.1002/mana.3212080106
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- Publication type:
- Article
Correlation functions for atmospheric data analysis.
- Published in:
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1999, v. 125, n. 559, p. 2449, doi. 10.1002/qj.49712555906
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- Publication type:
- Article