Works matching AU Duan, Wansuo

Results: 123

Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires.

Published in:

Nature Communications, 2024, v. 15, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-024-49677-0

By:

Luo, Binhe;
Luo, Dehai;
Dai, Aiguo;
Xiao, Cunde;
Simmonds, Ian;
Hanna, Edward;
Overland, James;
Shi, Jiaqi;
Chen, Xiaodan;
Yao, Yao;
Duan, Wansuo;
Liu, Yimin;
Zhang, Qiang;
Xu, Xiyan;
Diao, Yina;
Jiang, Zhina;
Gong, Tingting

Publication type:

Article

Decisive role of nonlinear temperature advection in El Niño and La Niña amplitude asymmetry.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans, 2008, v. 113, n. C1, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2006JC003974

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Xu, Hui;
Mu, Mu

Publication type:

Article

Investigating decadal variability of El Nino-Southern Oscillation asymmetry by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans, 2006, v. 111, n. C7, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2005JC003458

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Mu, Mu

Publication type:

Article

An Ensemble Forecasting Method for Dealing with the Combined Effects of the Initial and Model Errors and a Potential Deep Learning Implementation.

Published in:

Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 11, p. 2959, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0007.1

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Ma, Junjie;
Vannitsem, Stéphane

Publication type:

Article

Toward targeted observations of the meteorological initial state for improving the PM2.5 forecast of a heavy haze event that occurred in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region.

Published in:

Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2022, v. 22, n. 17, p. 11429, doi. 10.5194/acp-22-11429-2022

By:

Yang, Lichao;
Duan, Wansuo;
Wang, Zifa;
Yang, Wenyi

Publication type:

Article

Model Forecast Error Correction Based on the Local Dynamical Analog Method: An Example Application to the ENSO Forecast by an Intermediate Coupled Model.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 19, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020GL088986

By:

Hou, Zhaolu;
Zuo, Bin;
Zhang, Shaoqing;
Huang, Fei;
Ding, Ruiqiang;
Duan, Wansuo;
Li, Jianping

Publication type:

Article

Asymmetry of the Predictability Limit of the Warm ENSO Phase.

Published in:

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 15, p. 7646, doi. 10.1029/2018GL077880

By:

Hou, Zhaolu;
Li, Jianping;
Ding, Ruiqiang;
Karamperidou, Christina;
Duan, Wansuo;
Liu, Ting;
Feng, Jie

Publication type:

Article

Reducing the prediction uncertainties of high-impact weather and climate events: An overview of studies at LASG.

Published in:

Journal of Meteorological Research, 2017, v. 31, n. 1, p. 224, doi. 10.1007/s13351-016-6099-6

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Feng, Rong

Publication type:

Article

The role of nonlinear forcing singular vector tendency error in causing the 'spring predictability barrier' for ENSO.

Published in:

Journal of Meteorological Research, 2016, v. 30, n. 6, p. 853, doi. 10.1007/s13351-016-6011-4

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Zhao, Peng;
Hu, Junya;
Xu, Hui

Publication type:

Article

Application of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation to targeted observation studies of the atmosphere and ocean.

Published in:

Journal of Meteorological Research, 2014, v. 28, n. 5, p. 923, doi. 10.1007/s13351-014-4057-8

By:

Mu, Mu;
Wang, Qiang;
Duan, Wansuo;
Jiang, Zhina

Publication type:

Article

An approach to refining the ground meteorological observation stations for improving PM2.5 forecasts in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region.

Published in:

Geoscientific Model Development, 2023, v. 16, n. 13, p. 3827, doi. 10.5194/gmd-16-3827-2023

By:

Yang, Lichao;
Duan, Wansuo;
Wang, Zifa

Publication type:

Article

Toward target observations of the meteorological initial state for improving the PM<sub>2.5</sub> forecast of a heavy haze event that occurred in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

Published in:

Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2022-77

By:

Lichao Yang;
Wansuo Duan;
Zifa Wang;
Wenyi Yang

Publication type:

Article

Ensemble forecasting of Indian Ocean Dipole events generated by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation method.

Published in:

International Journal of Climatology, 2024, v. 44, n. 14, p. 5119, doi. 10.1002/joc.8627

By:

Feng, Rong;
Duan, Wansuo;
Hu, Lei;
Liu, Ting

Publication type:

Article

Evaluation and projections of extreme precipitation using a spatial extremes framework.

Published in:

International Journal of Climatology, 2023, v. 43, n. 7, p. 3453, doi. 10.1002/joc.8038

By:

Yang, Lichao;
Franzke, Christian L. E.;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Model errors of an intermediate model and their effects on realistic predictions of El Niño diversity.

Published in:

International Journal of Climatology, 2022, v. 42, n. 15, p. 7443, doi. 10.1002/joc.7656

By:

Tao, Lingjiang;
Duan, Wansuo;
Jiang, Lin

Publication type:

Article

Modulation of PDO on the predictability of the interannual variability of early summer rainfall over south China.

Published in:

Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2013, v. 118, n. 23, p. 13,008, doi. 10.1002/2013JD019862

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Song, Linye;
Li, Yun;
Mao, Jiangyu

Publication type:

Article

Complex networks analysis of PM<sub>2.5</sub>: transport and clustering.

Published in:

Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/esd-2022-9

By:

Na Ying;
Wansuo Duan;
Zhidan Zhao;
Jinfang Fan

Publication type:

Article

Coupled conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations and their application to ENSO ensemble forecasts.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2024, v. 67, n. 3, p. 826, doi. 10.1007/s11430-023-1273-1

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Hu, Lei;
Feng, Rong

Publication type:

Article

A multi-model prediction system for ENSO.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2023, v. 66, n. 6, p. 1231, doi. 10.1007/s11430-022-1094-0

By:

Liu, Ting;
Gao, Yanqiu;
Song, Xunshu;
Gao, Chuan;
Tao, Lingjiang;
Tang, Youmin;
Duan, Wansuo;
Zhang, Rong-Hua;
Chen, Dake

Publication type:

Article

The application of the orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations method to typhoon track ensemble forecasts.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2019, v. 62, n. 2, p. 376, doi. 10.1007/s11430-018-9248-9

By:

Huo, Zhenhua;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

The role of initial signals in the tropical Pacific Ocean in predictions of negative Indian Ocean Dipole events.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2018, v. 61, n. 12, p. 1832, doi. 10.1007/s11430-018-9296-2

By:

Feng, Rong;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2017, v. 60, n. 11, p. 2001, doi. 10.1007/s11430-016-9101-x

By:

Mu, Mu;
Duan, WanSuo;
Tang, YouMin

Publication type:

Article

On the 'spring predictability barrier' for strong El Niño events as derived from an intermediate coupled model ensemble prediction system.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2017, v. 60, n. 9, p. 1614, doi. 10.1007/s11430-017-9087-2

By:

Qi, QianQian;
Duan, WanSuo;
Zheng, Fei;
Tang, YouMin

Publication type:

Article

IOD-related optimal initial errors and optimal precursors for IOD predictions from reanalysis data.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2017, v. 60, n. 1, p. 156, doi. 10.1007/s11430-016-0103-9

By:

Feng, Rong;
Duan, WanSuo

Publication type:

Article

Using CMIP5 model outputs to investigate the initial errors that cause the 'spring predictability barrier' for El Niño events.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2015, v. 58, n. 5, p. 685, doi. 10.1007/s11430-014-4994-1

By:

Zhang, Jing;
Duan, WanSuo;
Zhi, XieFei

Publication type:

Article

A SVD-based ensemble projection algorithm for calculating the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2015, v. 58, n. 3, p. 385, doi. 10.1007/s11430-014-4991-4

By:

Chen, Lei;
Duan, WanSuo;
Xu, Hui

Publication type:

Article

The role of nonlinearities associated with air-sea coupling processes in El Nino's peak-phase locking.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2013, v. 56, n. 11, p. 1988, doi. 10.1007/s11430-013-4629-y

By:

Duan, WanSuo;
Zhang, Rui;
Yu, YanShan;
Tian, Ben

Publication type:

Article

The role of constant optimal forcing in correcting forecast models.

Published in:

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2013, v. 56, n. 3, p. 434, doi. 10.1007/s11430-012-4568-z

By:

Feng, Fan;
Duan, WanSuo

Publication type:

Article

Climate Variability and Predictability at Various Time Scales.

Published in:

Advances in Meteorology, 2012, p. 1, doi. 10.1155/2012/857831

By:

Youmin Tang;
Soon-Il An;
Wansuo Duan

Publication type:

Article

A New Method to Calculate Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations for Ensemble Forecasting.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2025, v. 42, n. 5, p. 952, doi. 10.1007/s00376-024-4069-y

By:

Ma, Junjie;
Duan, Wansuo;
Liu, Zhuomin;
Wang, Ye

Publication type:

Article

Recent Advances in China on the Predictability of Weather and Climate.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2023, v. 40, n. 8, p. 1521, doi. 10.1007/s00376-023-2334-0

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Yang, Lichao;
Mu, Mu;
Wang, Bin;
Shen, Xueshun;
Meng, Zhiyong;
Ding, Ruiqiang

Publication type:

Article

Effects of Dropsonde Data in Field Campaigns on Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific in 2020 and the Role of CNOP Sensitivity.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2023, v. 40, n. 5, p. 791, doi. 10.1007/s00376-022-2136-9

By:

Qin, Xiaohao;
Duan, Wansuo;
Chan, Pak-Wai;
Chen, Boyu;
Huang, Kang-Ning

Publication type:

Article

The Initial Errors in the Tropical Indian Ocean that Can Induce a Significant "Spring Predictability Barrier" for La Niña Events and Their Implication for Targeted Observations.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2021, v. 38, n. 9, p. 1566, doi. 10.1007/s00376-021-0427-1

By:

Zhou, Qian;
Duan, Wansuo;
Wang, Xu;
Li, Xiang;
Zu, Ziqing

Publication type:

Article

Which Features of the SST Forcing Error Most Likely Disturb the Simulated Intensity of Tropical Cyclones?

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2021, v. 38, n. 4, p. 581, doi. 10.1007/s00376-020-0073-z

By:

Yao, Jiawei;
Duan, Wansuo;
Qin, Xiaohao

Publication type:

Article

Sensitivity to Tendency Perturbations of Tropical Cyclone Short-range Intensity Forecasts Generated by WRF.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2020, v. 37, n. 3, p. 291, doi. 10.1007/s00376-019-9187-6

By:

Qin, Xiaohao;
Duan, Wansuo;
Xu, Hui

Publication type:

Article

Indian Ocean Dipole-related Predictability Barriers Induced by Initial Errors in the Tropical Indian Ocean in a CGCM.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, v. 36, n. 6, p. 658, doi. 10.1007/s00376-019-8224-9

By:

Feng, Rong;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Errors in Current Velocity in the Low-latitude North Pacific: Results from the Regional Ocean Modeling System.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, v. 36, n. 4, p. 397, doi. 10.1007/s00376-018-8140-4

By:

Wen, Xixi;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Track with Orthogonal Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, v. 36, n. 2, p. 231, doi. 10.1007/s00376-018-8001-1

By:

Huo, Zhenhua;
Duan, Wansuo;
Zhou, Feifan

Publication type:

Article

Investigating the Initial Errors that Cause Predictability Barriers for Indian Ocean Dipole Events Using CMIP5 Model Outputs.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2018, v. 35, n. 10, p. 1305, doi. 10.1007/s00376-018-7214-7

By:

Feng, Rong;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Possible Sources of Forecast Errors Generated by the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones. Part II: Model Uncertainty.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2018, v. 35, n. 10, p. 1277, doi. 10.1007/s00376-018-7095-9

By:

Zhou, Feifan;
Duan, Wansuo;
Zhang, He;
Yamaguchi, Munehiko

Publication type:

Article

Impact of SST Anomaly Events over the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension on the "Summer Prediction Barrier".

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2018, v. 35, n. 4, p. 397, doi. 10.1007/s00376-017-6322-0

By:

Yujie WU;
Wansuo DUAN

Publication type:

Article

Nonlinearity modulating intensities and spatial structures of central Pacific and eastern Pacific El Niño events.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2017, v. 34, n. 6, p. 737, doi. 10.1007/s00376-017-6148-9

By:

Duan, Wansuo;
Huang, Chaoming;
Xu, Hui

Publication type:

Article

A timescale decomposed threshold regression downscaling approach to forecasting South China early summer rainfall.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2016, v. 33, n. 9, p. 1071, doi. 10.1007/s00376-016-5251-7

By:

Song, Linye;
Duan, Wansuo;
Li, Yun;
Mao, Jiangyu

Publication type:

Article

Comparison of constant and time-variant optimal forcing approaches in El Niño simulations by using the Zebiak-Cane model.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2016, v. 33, n. 6, p. 685, doi. 10.1007/s00376-015-5174-8

By:

Tian, Ben;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Influence of positive and negative Indian Ocean Dipoles on ENSO via the Indonesian Throughflow: Results from sensitivity experiments.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2015, v. 32, n. 6, p. 783, doi. 10.1007/s00376-014-4141-0

By:

Zhou, Qian;
Duan, Wansuo;
Feng, Rong;
Mu, Mu

Publication type:

Article

Progress in the study of nonlinear atmospheric dynamics and predictability of weather and climate in China (2007-2011).

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, v. 29, n. 5, p. 1048, doi. 10.1007/s00376-012-1204-y

By:

Zhou, Feifan;
Ding, Ruiqiang;
Feng, Guolin;
Fu, Zuntao;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

Effect of stochastic MJO forcing on ENSO predictability.

Published in:

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, v. 28, n. 6, p. 1279, doi. 10.1007/s00376-011-0126-4

By:

Peng, Yuehua;
Duan, Wansuo;
Xiang, Jie

Publication type:

Article

Why does there occur spring predictability barrier for eastern Pacific El Niño but summer predictability barrier for central Pacific El Niño?

Published in:

Climate Dynamics, 2024, v. 62, n. 10, p. 9769, doi. 10.1007/s00382-024-07429-2

By:

You, Can;
Hou, Meiyi;
Duan, Wansuo

Publication type:

Article

MJO-equatorial Rossby wave interferences in the tropical intraseasonal oscillation.

Published in:

Climate Dynamics, 2024, v. 62, n. 9, p. 9097, doi. 10.1007/s00382-024-07380-2

By:

Wei, Yuntao;
Ren, Hong-Li;
Duan, Wansuo;
Sun, Guodong

Publication type:

Article

Using an ensemble nonlinear forcing singular vector data assimilation approach to address the ENSO forecast uncertainties caused by the "spring predictability barrier" and El Niño diversity.

Published in:

Climate Dynamics, 2023, v. 61, n. 11/12, p. 4971, doi. 10.1007/s00382-023-06834-3

By:

Zheng, Yingcong;
Duan, Wansuo;
Tao, Lingjiang;
Ma, Junjie

Publication type:

Article