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Causes and multiyear predictability of the rapid acceleration of U.S. Southeast Sea level rise after 2010.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2024, v. 7, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-024-00670-w
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- Article
Strong Oceanic Forcing on Decadal Surface Temperature Variability Over Global Ocean.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 8, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL107401
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- Article
Contributions of Tropical Cyclones and Atmospheric Rivers to Extreme Precipitation Trends Over the Northeast US.
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- Earth's Future, 2024, v. 12, n. 4, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023EF004370
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- Article
Prediction of Diverse Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in the GFDL SPEAR Model.
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- Journal of Climate, 2024, v. 37, n. 7, p. 2217, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0601.1
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- Article
Dynamically downscaled seasonal ocean forecasts for North American East Coast ecosystems.
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- Ocean Science Discussions, 2024, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/egusphere-2024-394
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- Article
Changes in United States Summer Temperatures Revealed by Explainable Neural Networks.
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- Earth's Future, 2024, v. 12, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023EF003981
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- Article
Multidecadal variability and predictability of Antarctic sea ice in the GFDL SPEAR_LO model.
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- Cryosphere, 2023, v. 17, n. 12, p. 5219, doi. 10.5194/tc-17-5219-2023
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Using Large Ensembles to Examine Historical and Projected Changes in Record‐Breaking Summertime Temperatures Over the Contiguous United States.
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- Earth's Future, 2023, v. 11, n. 12, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023EF003954
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- Article
The role of upper-ocean variations of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension in seasonal-to-decadal air-sea heat flux variability.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2023, v. 6, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-023-00453-9
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- Article
Seasonal prediction of North American wintertime cold extremes in the GFDL SPEAR forecast system.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2023, v. 61, n. 3/4, p. 1769, doi. 10.1007/s00382-022-06655-w
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- Article
Increases in extreme precipitation over the Northeast United States using high-resolution climate model simulations.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2023, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-023-00347-w
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- Article
The Role of the Gulf of California in the North American Monsoon.
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- Journal of Climate, 2023, v. 36, n. 6, p. 1541, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0365.1
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- Article
Multidecadal Variability and Predictability of Antarctic Sea Ice in GFDL SPEAR_LO Model.
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- Cryosphere Discussions, 2023, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/tc-2023-18
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- Article
Strong Red Noise Ocean Forcing on Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Assessed from Surface Heat Flux: Theory and Application.
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- Journal of Climate, 2023, v. 36, n. 1, p. 55, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0063.1
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- Article
Subseasonal controls of U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2022, v. 5, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-022-00289-9
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- Article
Stronger decadal variability of the Kuroshio Extension under simulated future climate change.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2022, v. 5, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-022-00285-z
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- Article
Skillful Seasonal Prediction of North American Summertime Heat Extremes.
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- Journal of Climate, 2022, v. 35, n. 13, p. 4331, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0364.1
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Seasonal-to-Decadal Variability and Prediction of the Kuroshio Extension in the GFDL Coupled Ensemble Reanalysis and Forecasting System.
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- Journal of Climate, 2022, v. 35, n. 11, p. 3515, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0471.1
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- Article
When Will Humanity Notice Its Influence on Atmospheric Rivers?
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2022, v. 127, n. 9, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021JD036044
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Development of a Rapid Response Capability to Evaluate Causes of Extreme Temperature and Drought Events in the United States.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 103, n. 3, p. S14, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0237.1
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S2S Prediction in GFDL SPEAR: MJO Diversity and Teleconnections.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 103, n. 2, p. E463, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0124.1
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On the Development of GFDL's Decadal Prediction System: Initialization Approaches and Retrospective Forecast Assessment.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2021, v. 13, n. 11, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021MS002529
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Seasonal predictability of baroclinic wave activity.
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- NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2021, v. 4, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41612-021-00209-3
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Natural variability vs forced signal in the 2015–2019 Central American drought.
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- Climatic Change, 2021, v. 168, n. 3/4, p. 1, doi. 10.1007/s10584-021-03228-4
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- Article
Are Multiseasonal Forecasts of Atmospheric Rivers Possible?
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2021, v. 48, n. 17, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021GL094000
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- Article
The Alaskan Summer 2019 Extreme Heat Event: The Role of Anthropogenic Forcing, and Projections of the Increasing Risk of Occurrence.
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- Earth's Future, 2021, v. 9, n. 8, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021EF002163
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- Article
The Dependence of Internal Multidecadal Variability in the Southern Ocean on the Ocean Background Mean State.
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- Journal of Climate, 2021, v. 34, n. 3, p. 1061, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0049.1
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- Article
GFDL's SPEAR Seasonal Prediction System: Initialization and Ocean Tendency Adjustment (OTA) for Coupled Model Predictions.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, v. 12, n. 12, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020MS002149
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- Article
A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 13, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020GL088335
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- Article
SPEAR: The Next Generation GFDL Modeling System for Seasonal to Multidecadal Prediction and Projection.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, v. 12, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2019MS001895
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- Article
Tropical cyclone sensitivities to CO<sub>2</sub> doubling: roles of atmospheric resolution, synoptic variability and background climate changes.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2019, v. 53, n. 9/10, p. 5999, doi. 10.1007/s00382-019-04913-y
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- Article
Modulation of Arctic Sea Ice Loss by Atmospheric Teleconnections from Atlantic Multidecadal Variability.
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- Journal of Climate, 2019, v. 32, n. 5, p. 1419, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0307.1
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- Article
Natural variability of Southern Ocean convection as a driver of observed climate trends.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2019, v. 9, n. 1, p. 59, doi. 10.1038/s41558-018-0350-3
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- Article
Improved Simulations of Tropical Pacific Annual‐Mean Climate in the GFDL FLOR and HiFLOR Coupled GCMs.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2018, v. 10, n. 12, p. 3176, doi. 10.1029/2018MS001372
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On the seasonal prediction of the western United States El Niño precipitation pattern during the 2015/16 winter.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2018, v. 51, n. 9/10, p. 3765, doi. 10.1007/s00382-018-4109-3
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- Article
The Influence of CO<sub>2</sub> Forcing on North American Monsoon Moisture Surges.
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- Journal of Climate, 2018, v. 31, n. 19, p. 7949, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0007.1
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- Article
Detectability of Decadal Anthropogenic Hydroclimate Changes over North America.
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- Journal of Climate, 2018, v. 31, n. 7, p. 2579, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0366.1
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- Article
Robustness of anthropogenically forced decadal precipitation changes projected for the 21st century.
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- Nature Communications, 2018, v. 9, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-018-03611-3
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- Article
Dominant Role of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Recent Decadal Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 1, p. 354, doi. 10.1002/2017GL076397
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- Article
Weakening of the North American monsoon with global warming.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2017, v. 7, n. 11, p. 806, doi. 10.1038/nclimate3412
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- Article
Diagnosis of Decadal Predictability of Southern Ocean Sea Surface Temperature in the GFDL CM2.1 Model.
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- Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 16, p. 6309, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0537.1
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Estimating Decadal Predictability for the Southern Ocean Using the GFDL CM2.1 Model.
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- Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 14, p. 5187, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0840.1
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- Article
The Central Role of Ocean Dynamics in Connecting the North Atlantic Oscillation to the Extratropical Component of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
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- Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 10, p. 3789, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0358.1
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- Article
Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future.
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- Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 1, p. 243, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0424.1
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- Article
26. INFLUENCES OF NATURAL VARIABILITY AND ANTHROPOGENIC FORCING ON THE EXTREME 2015 ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2016, v. 97, n. 12, p. S131, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0146.1
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Detection, Attribution, and Projection of Regional Rainfall Changes on (Multi-) Decadal Time Scales: A Focus on Southeastern South America.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 23, p. 8515, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0287.1
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- Article
The Impact of Horizontal Resolution on North American Monsoon Gulf of California Moisture Surges in a Suite of Coupled Global Climate Models.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 21, p. 7911, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0199.1
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Simulated Response of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation to Climate Change.
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- Journal of Climate, 2016, v. 29, n. 16, p. 5999, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0690.1
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- Article
Impact of the Antarctic bottom water formation on the Weddell Gyre and its northward propagation characteristics in GFDL CM2.1 model.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Oceans, 2016, v. 121, n. 8, p. 5825, doi. 10.1002/2016JC011790
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The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver of rapid climate change in the Northern Hemisphere.
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- Nature Geoscience, 2016, v. 9, n. 7, p. 509, doi. 10.1038/ngeo2738
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