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Algorithms in selection decisions: Effective, but unappreciated.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2024, v. 37, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/bdm.2368
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Meta‐informational cue inconsistency and judgment of information accuracy: Spotlight on intelligence analysis.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2023, v. 36, n. 3, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/bdm.2307
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Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events<sup>†</sup>.
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- AI Magazine, 2023, v. 44, n. 1, p. 112, doi. 10.1002/aaai.12085
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Preference for human or algorithmic forecasting advice does not predict if and how it is used.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2023, v. 36, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1002/bdm.2285
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Recalibrating probabilistic forecasts to improve their accuracy.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2022, v. 17, n. 1, p. 91, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500009049
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Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2021, v. 16, n. 2, p. 323, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500008597
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Too Much Trust in Group Decisions: Uncovering Hidden Profiles by Groups and Markets.
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- Organization Science, 2020, v. 31, n. 6, p. 1497, doi. 10.1287/orsc.2020.1363
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- Article
Do Teachers Consider Advice? On the Acceptance of Computerized Expert Models.
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- Journal of Educational Measurement, 2020, v. 57, n. 2, p. 311, doi. 10.1111/jedm.12251
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Climate uncertainty communication.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2019, v. 9, n. 11, p. 802, doi. 10.1038/s41558-019-0606-6
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- Article
Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments.
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- Decision Analysis, 2019, v. 16, n. 3, p. 197, doi. 10.1287/deca.2018.0388
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Eliciting Subjective Probabilities through Pair-wise Comparisons.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2017, v. 30, n. 2, p. 181, doi. 10.1002/bdm.1929
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Corrigendum: COP21 climate negotiators' responses to climate model forecasts.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2017, v. 7, n. 4, p. 304, doi. 10.1038/nclimate3256
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- Article
An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2017, v. 12, n. 2, p. 90, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500005647
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- Article
COP21 climate negotiators' responses to climate model forecasts.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2017, v. 7, n. 3, p. 185, doi. 10.1038/nclimate3208
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- Article
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses.
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- Decision Analysis, 2016, v. 13, n. 2, p. 128, doi. 10.1287/deca.2016.0329
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- Article
The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds.
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- Decision Analysis, 2015, v. 12, n. 3, p. 130, doi. 10.1287/deca.2015.0315
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Aggregating multiple probability intervals to improve calibration.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2015, v. 10, n. 2, p. 130, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500003910
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- Article
Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds.
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- Management Science, 2015, v. 61, n. 2, p. 267, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.2014.1909
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Advice from Experience: Communicating Incomplete Information Incompletely.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2015, v. 28, n. 1, p. 36, doi. 10.1002/bdm.1825
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The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world.
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- Nature Climate Change, 2014, v. 4, n. 6, p. 508, doi. 10.1038/nclimate2194
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- Article
Revisiting the Gain-Loss Separability Assumption in Prospect Theory.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2013, v. 26, n. 4, p. 385, doi. 10.1002/bdm.1765
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- Article
Teams Make You Smarter: How Exposure to Teams Improves Individual Decisions in Probability and Reasoning Tasks.
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- Management Science, 2013, v. 59, n. 6, p. 1255, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.1120.1668
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Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus.
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- Decision Analysis, 2012, v. 9, n. 4, p. 297, doi. 10.1287/deca.1120.0255
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The Joint Influence of the Extent and Nature of Audit Evidence, Materiality Thresholds, and Misstatement Type on Achieved Audit Risk.
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- Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory, 2012, v. 31, n. 2, p. 19, doi. 10.2308/ajpt-10239
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Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis.
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- Decision Analysis, 2011, v. 8, n. 4, p. 251, doi. 10.1287/deca.1110.0222
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Pair-wise comparisons of multiple models.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2011, v. 6, n. 8, p. 821, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500004241
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A model-based approach for the analysis of the calibration of probability judgments.
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- Judgment & Decision Making, 2011, v. 6, n. 8, p. 857, doi. 10.1017/s1930297500004277
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A Constrained Linear Estimator for Multiple Regression.
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- Psychometrika, 2010, v. 75, n. 3, p. 521, doi. 10.1007/s11336-010-9162-8
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- Article
Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours.
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- Management Science, 2010, v. 56, n. 6, p. 997, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.1100.1161
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- Article
WHY ARE EXPERTS CORRELATED? DECOMPOSING CORRELATIONS BETWEEN JUDGES.
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- Psychometrika, 2009, v. 74, n. 3, p. 531, doi. 10.1007/S11336-009-9118-Z
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The Researcher as a Consumer of Scientific Publications: How Do Name-Ordering Conventions Affect Inferences About Contribution Credits?
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- Marketing Science, 2009, v. 28, n. 3, p. 589, doi. 10.1287/mksc.1080.0406
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A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values.
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- Decision Analysis, 2008, v. 5, n. 4, p. 190, doi. 10.1287/deca.1080.0126
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Predicting World Cup results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay off?
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- Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 2008, v. 15, n. 2, p. 278, doi. 10.3758/PBR.15.2.278
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Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments.
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- Management Science, 2007, v. 53, n. 11, p. 1731, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.1070.0727
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- Article
Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues and advisors.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2007, v. 20, n. 2, p. 153, doi. 10.1002/bdm.547
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To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation.
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- Decision Analysis, 2006, v. 3, n. 3, p. 145, doi. 10.1287/deca.1060.0074
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- Article
The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics.
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- Decision Analysis, 2006, v. 3, n. 3, p. 177, doi. 10.1287/deca.1060.0067
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- Article
Comparing Predictors in Multivariate Regression Models: An Extension of Dominance Analysis.
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- Journal of Educational & Behavioral Statistics, 2006, v. 31, n. 2, p. 157, doi. 10.3102/10769986031002157
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The Effects of Imprecise Probabilities and Outcomes in Evaluating Investment Options.
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- Management Science, 2005, v. 51, n. 12, p. 1791, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.1050.0428
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The Effect of Payoff Feedback and Information Pooling on Reasoning Errors: Evidence from Experimental Markets.
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- Management Science, 2005, v. 51, n. 12, p. 1829, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.1050.0426
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Predicting the directionality of probability words from their membership functions.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2003, v. 16, n. 3, p. 159, doi. 10.1002/bdm.440
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A Model of Sequential Effects in Common Pool Resource Dilemmas.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2002, v. 15, n. 1, p. 37, doi. 10.1002/bdm.402
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Criticality of predictors in multiple regression.
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- British Journal of Mathematical & Statistical Psychology, 2001, v. 54, n. 2, p. 201, doi. 10.1348/000711001159483
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The Same but Different: An Empirical Investigation of the Reducibility Principle.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, v. 14, n. 3, p. 187, doi. 10.1002/bdm.372
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Random Error Reduction in Analytic Hierarchies: A Comparison of Holistic and Decompositional Decision Strategies.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, v. 14, n. 3, p. 223, doi. 10.1002/bdm.374
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Averaging Probability Judgments: Monte Carlo Analyses of Asymptotic Diagnostic Value.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, v. 14, n. 2, p. 123, doi. 10.1002/bdm.369
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Commentary on The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework.
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- Journal of Risk & Uncertainty, 1999, v. 19, n. 1-3, p. 43, doi. 10.1023/A:1007802721967
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Introduction to this Special Issue on Stochastic and Cognitive Models of Confidence.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, v. 10, n. 3, p. 153, doi. 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<153::AID-BDM279>3.0.CO;2-K
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On the Importance of Random Error in the Study of Probability Judgment. Part I: New Theoretical Developments.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, v. 10, n. 3, p. 157, doi. 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<157::AID-BDM260>3.0.CO;2-#
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On the Importance of Random Error in the Study of Probability Judgment. Part II: Applying the Stochastic Judgment Model to Detect Systematic Trends.
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- Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, v. 10, n. 3, p. 173, doi. 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199709)10:3<173::AID-BDM261>3.0.CO;2-6
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