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Development of the signal‐to‐noise paradox in subseasonal forecasting models: When? Where? Why?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 150, n. 764, p. 4417, doi. 10.1002/qj.4822
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- Article
Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 2. Mechanisms and Sources of the Spread.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2024, v. 129, n. 13, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024JD040823
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- Article
Introduction to Special Collection "The Exceptional Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex in 2019/2020: Causes and Consequences".
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2022, v. 127, n. 18, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022JD037381
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- Article
Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 1. Inter‐Model Spread and Scenario Sensitivity.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2022, v. 127, n. 18, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022JD036992
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- Article
Differences between the 2018 and 2019 stratospheric polar vortex split events.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020, v. 146, n. 732, p. 3503, doi. 10.1002/qj.3858
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- Article
The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2016, v. 142, n. 696, p. 1413, doi. 10.1002/qj.2743
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- Article
Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering – the role of stratospheric dynamics.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2021, v. 21, n. 9, p. 6985, doi. 10.5194/acp-21-6985-2021
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- Article
The spring transition of the North Pacific jet and its relation to deep stratosphere-to-troposphere mass transport over western North America.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2021, v. 21, n. 4, p. 2781, doi. 10.5194/acp-21-2781-2021
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- Article
A comparison of the momentum budget in reanalysis datasets during sudden stratospheric warming events.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2018, v. 18, n. 10, p. 7169, doi. 10.5194/acp-18-7169-2018
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- Article
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 3, p. 977, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
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- Article
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2022-12
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- Article
Long Range Prediction and the Stratosphere.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2021, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2021-719
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- Article
Analyzing ozone variations and uncertainties at high latitudes during Sudden Stratospheric Warming events using MERRA-2.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2021, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2021-646
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- Article
Robust winter warming over Eurasia under stratospheric sulfate geoengineering - the role of stratospheric dynamics.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2020, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2020-965
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- Article
Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Final Stratospheric Warmings and Their Surface Impacts.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 17/18, p. 10578, doi. 10.1029/2019GL083346
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- Article
Strong Relations Between ENSO and the Arctic Oscillation in the North American Multimodel Ensemble.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 22, p. 11,654, doi. 10.1002/2017GL074854
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A Census of Atmospheric Variability From Seconds to Decades.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 21, p. 11,201, doi. 10.1002/2017GL075483
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- Article
El Niño, La Niña, and stratospheric sudden warmings: A reevaluation in light of the observational record.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2011, v. 38, n. 13, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2011GL048084
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- Article
The Remarkably Strong Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex of Winter 2020: Links to Record‐Breaking Arctic Oscillation and Ozone Loss.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2020, v. 125, n. 22, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020JD033271
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- Article
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 2. Predictability Arising From Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2020, v. 125, n. 2, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1029/2019JD030923
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- Article
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 1. Predictability of the Stratosphere.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2020, v. 125, n. 2, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1029/2019JD030920
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- Article
Observed Relationships Between Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and European Climate Extremes.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2019, v. 124, n. 24, p. 13943, doi. 10.1029/2019JD030480
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- Article
Weakening of the Teleconnection From El Niño–Southern Oscillation to the Arctic Stratosphere Over the Past Few Decades: What Can Be Learned From Subseasonal Forecast Models?
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2019, v. 124, n. 14, p. 7683, doi. 10.1029/2018JD029961
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- Article
Extratropical Atmospheric Predictability From the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in Subseasonal Forecast Models.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2018, v. 123, n. 15, p. 7855, doi. 10.1029/2018JD028724
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- Article
Mechanisms Governing Interannual Variability of Stratosphere‐to‐Troposphere Ozone Transport.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2018, v. 123, n. 1, p. 234, doi. 10.1002/2017JD026890
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Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2013, v. 118, n. 2, p. 605, doi. 10.1002/jgrd.50126
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Interannual Influence of Antarctic Sea Ice on Southern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 15, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL107478
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- Article
Potential Non‐Linearities in the High Latitude Circulation and Ozone Response to Stratospheric Aerosol Injection.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 22, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL104726
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Amplified Decadal Variability of Extratropical Surface Temperatures by Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 16, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL104607
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- Article
Impact of the Latitude of Stratospheric Aerosol Injection on the Southern Annular Mode.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, v. 49, n. 19, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022GL100353
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- Article
What's in a Name? On the Use and Significance of the Term "Polar Vortex".
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, v. 49, n. 10, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021GL097617
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- Article
Seasonal Forecasts of the Exceptional Northern Hemisphere Winter of 2020.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 21, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2020GL090328
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- Article
Isentropic Slopes, Downgradient Eddy Fluxes, and the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to Tropical Tropospheric Heating.
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- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, v. 68, n. 10, p. 2292, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-10-05025.1
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Optimizing the Definition of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming.
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- Journal of Climate, 2018, v. 31, n. 6, p. 2337, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0648.1
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- Article
Distinguishing Stratospheric Sudden Warmings from ENSO as Key Drivers of Wintertime Climate Variability over the North Atlantic and Eurasia.
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- Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 6, p. 1959, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0277.1
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- Article
Seasonal Predictability over Europe Arising from El Niño and Stratospheric Variability in the MPI-ESM Seasonal Prediction System.
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- Journal of Climate, 2015, v. 28, n. 1, p. 256, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00207.1
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The Steady-State Atmospheric Circulation Response to Climate Change–like Thermal Forcings in a Simple General Circulation Model.
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- Journal of Climate, 2010, v. 23, n. 13, p. 3474, doi. 10.1175/2010JCLI3228.1
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- Article
The 2018–2019 Arctic stratospheric polar vortex.
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- Weather (00431656), 2020, v. 75, n. 2, p. 52, doi. 10.1002/wea.3643
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- Article
Injection strategy - a driver of atmospheric circulation and ozone response to stratospheric aerosol geoengineering.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2023, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/egusphere-2023-495
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- Article
A comparison of the momentum budget in reanalysis datasets during sudden stratospheric warming events.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2017, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2017-837
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- Article
The mystery of recent stratospheric temperature trends.
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- Nature, 2012, v. 491, n. 7426, p. 692, doi. 10.1038/nature11579
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- Article
The Arctic.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 103, n. 8, p. S257, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0082.1
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- Article
The 2019 Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex Weakening and Its Impacts.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021, v. 102, n. 6, p. E1150, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0112.1
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Best Practice Strategies for Process Studies Designed to Improve Climate Modeling.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2020, v. 101, n. 10, p. E1842, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0263.1
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Current and Emerging Developments in Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2020, v. 101, n. 6, p. E869, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1
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- Article
DEFINING SUDDEN STRATOSPHERIC WARMINGS.
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- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2015, v. 96, n. 11, p. 1913, doi. 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00173.1
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A Sudden Stratospheric Warming Compendium.
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- Earth System Science Data Discussions, 2016, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/essd-2016-49
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A sudden stratospheric warming compendium.
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- Earth System Science Data, 2017, v. 9, n. 1, p. 63, doi. 10.5194/essd-9-63-2017
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- Article
Evaluation of Processes Related to Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling in GEFSv12 Subseasonal Hindcasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2023, v. 151, n. 7, p. 1735, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0283.1
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- Article
The Spring Minimum in Subseasonal 2-m Temperature Forecast Skill over North America.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2022, v. 150, n. 10, p. 2617, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0062.1
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- Article