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- Title
Metodologia box-jenkins aplicada ao setor habitacional: um estudo de caso.
- Authors
Melchior, Cristiane; Rohenkohl Ricci, Mayara; Beazi de Andrade, Fernanda; Ruviaro Zanini, Roselaine
- Abstract
The housing sector has participation in economic and social development, contributing to the support of families. The study presents an exploratory analysis about real estate financing agreements made in Brazil with funds from the Brazilian Savings and Loan System. The purpose of this study was to investigate the behavior and predict housing financing in the country through a time series model. For this, the monthly records, from January 2010 to March 2017, were obtained from the Brazilian Chamber of Construction Industry, adjusting models through the ARIMA methodology. The model that best fit the interpretation of the behavior of the series was an autoregressive one, with the presence of moving averages and the application of two differences to characterize the stationarity of the series under study, being, therefore, an ARIMA model (1,2,1). The behavior of the series reflected the political impact coming from the exchanges of government analyzed from the Lula government to the Temer government.
- Publication
Exacta, 2019, Vol 17, Issue 4, p283
- ISSN
1678-5428
- Publication type
Academic Journal
- DOI
10.5585/Exacta.v17n4.8525