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- Title
Adult cigarette smoking prevalence: declining as expected (not as desired).
- Authors
Mendez, David; Warner, Kenneth E
- Abstract
We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995-2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2 =.89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future, although at a rate approximately half that of the decline experienced during the 1970s and 1980s.
- Publication
American journal of public health, 2004, Vol 94, Issue 2, p251
- ISSN
0090-0036
- Publication type
Journal Article
- DOI
10.2105/ajph.94.2.251