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- Title
Will generalist physician supply meet demands of an increasing and aging population?
- Authors
Colwill, Jack M; Cultice, James M; Kruse, Robin L
- Abstract
We predict that population growth and aging will increase family physicians' and general internists' workloads by 29 percent between 2005 and 2025. We expect a 13 percent increased workload for care of children by pediatricians and family physicians. However, the supply of generalists for adult care, adjusted for age and sex, will increase 7 percent, or only 2 percent if the number of graduates continues to decline through 2008. We expect deficits of 35,000-44,000 adult care generalists, although the supply for care of children should be adequate. These forces threaten the nation's foundation of primary care for adults.
- Publication
Health affairs (Project Hope), 2008, Vol 27, Issue 3, pw232
- ISSN
1544-5208
- Publication type
Journal Article
- DOI
10.1377/hlthaff.27.3.w232