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Development of the signal‐to‐noise paradox in subseasonal forecasting models: When? Where? Why?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, v. 150, n. 764, p. 4417, doi. 10.1002/qj.4822
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- Article
Stratospheric impacts on dust transport and air pollution in West Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean.
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- Nature Communications, 2022, v. 13, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1038/s41467-022-35403-1
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- Article
Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 2. Mechanisms and Sources of the Spread.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2024, v. 129, n. 13, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024JD040823
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Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere‐Troposphere Circulation Change in CMIP6 Models: 1. Inter‐Model Spread and Scenario Sensitivity.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2022, v. 127, n. 18, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2022JD036992
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- Article
Changes in the seasonal cycle of the Atlantic meridional heat transport in a RCP 8.5 climate projection in MPI-ESM.
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- Earth System Dynamics, 2017, v. 8, n. 1, p. 129, doi. 10.5194/esd-8-129-2017
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- Article
cloudbandPy 1.0: an automated algorithm for the detection of tropical–extratropical cloud bands.
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- Geoscientific Model Development, 2024, v. 17, n. 6, p. 2247, doi. 10.5194/gmd-17-2247-2024
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- Article
Subseasonal predictability of onset, duration, and intensity of European heat extremes.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2023, v. 149, n. 750, p. 84, doi. 10.1002/qj.4394
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- Article
The role of atmospheric dynamics and large‐scale topography in driving heatwaves.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 746, p. 2344, doi. 10.1002/qj.4306
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- Article
Influence of trends on subseasonal temperature prediction skill.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 744, p. 1280, doi. 10.1002/qj.4259
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- Article
Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold‐air outbreaks over the Barents Sea.
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021, v. 147, n. 738, p. 2638, doi. 10.1002/qj.4038
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- Article
The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter?
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- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2016, v. 142, n. 696, p. 1413, doi. 10.1002/qj.2743
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- Article
The impact of vertical model levels on the prediction of MJO teleconnections: Part I—The tropospheric pathways in the UFS global coupled model.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2024, v. 62, n. 9, p. 9031, doi. 10.1007/s00382-024-07377-x
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- Article
Seasonal prediction of the boreal winter stratosphere.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 58, n. 7/8, p. 2109, doi. 10.1007/s00382-021-05787-9
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- Article
Revisiting remote drivers of the 2014 drought in South-Eastern Brazil.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2020, v. 55, n. 11/12, p. 3197, doi. 10.1007/s00382-020-05442-9
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- Article
The effect of the equatorial Pacific cold SST bias on simulated ENSO teleconnections to the North Pacific and California.
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- Climate Dynamics, 2019, v. 53, n. 7/8, p. 3771, doi. 10.1007/s00382-019-04746-9
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- Article
The teleconnection of extreme El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events to the tropical North Atlantic in coupled climate models.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2023, v. 4, n. 2, p. 471, doi. 10.5194/wcd-4-471-2023
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- Article
Increased vertical resolution in the stratosphere reveals role of gravity waves after sudden stratospheric warmings.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2023, v. 4, n. 1, p. 81, doi. 10.5194/wcd-4-81-2023
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- Article
Improved extended-range prediction of persistent stratospheric perturbations using machine learning.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2023, v. 4, n. 2, p. 287, doi. 10.5194/wcd-4-287-2023
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- Article
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 3, p. 977, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
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- Article
Increased vertical resolution in the stratosphere reveals role of gravity waves after sudden stratospheric warmings.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2022-41
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- Article
Differences in the sub-seasonal predictability of extreme stratospheric events.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 3, p. 755, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-755-2022
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- Article
Stationary wave biases and their effect on upward troposphere– stratosphere coupling in sub-seasonal prediction models.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 2, p. 679, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-679-2022
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- Article
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2022-12
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- Article
Modulation of the ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic by the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2021-82
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- Article
Differences in the Sub-seasonal Predictability of Extreme Stratospheric Events.
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- Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2021-84
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- Article
Exploring the Use of European Weather Regimes for Improving User-Relevant Hydrological Forecasts at the Subseasonal Scale in Switzerland.
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- Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2023, v. 24, n. 10, p. 1597, doi. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0245.1
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- Article
Tropospheric Links to Uncertainty in Stratospheric Subseasonal Predictions.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2024, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/egusphere-2024-1652
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- Article
Long Range Prediction and the Stratosphere.
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- Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2021, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/acp-2021-719
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- Article
Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2019GL085007
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- Article
Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, v. 47, n. 2, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2019GL085007
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- Article
Higher Subseasonal Predictability of Extreme Hot European Summer Temperatures as Compared to Average Summers.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 20, p. 11520, doi. 10.1029/2019GL084314
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- Article
Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Final Stratospheric Warmings and Their Surface Impacts.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2019, v. 46, n. 17/18, p. 10578, doi. 10.1029/2019GL083346
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- Article
Improved Teleconnection-Based Dynamical Seasonal Predictions of Boreal Winter.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 8, p. 3605, doi. 10.1002/2018GL077209
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- Article
Rossby Wave Propagation into the Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere: The Role of Zonal Phase Speed.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2018, v. 45, n. 4, p. 2064, doi. 10.1002/2017GL076886
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- Article
Tropical Forcing of the Summer East Atlantic Pattern.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2017, v. 44, n. 21, p. 11,166, doi. 10.1002/2017GL075493
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- Article
The role of synoptic eddies in the tropospheric response to stratospheric variability.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2013, v. 40, n. 18, p. 4933, doi. 10.1002/grl.50943
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Traveling planetary-scale Rossby waves in the winter stratosphere: The role of tropospheric baroclinic instability.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2012, v. 39, n. 20, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2012GL053684
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- Article
Springtime arctic ozone depletion forces northern hemisphere climate anomalies.
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- Nature Geoscience, 2022, v. 15, n. 7, p. 541, doi. 10.1038/s41561-022-00974-7
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- Article
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 2. Predictability Arising From Stratosphere‐Troposphere Coupling.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2020, v. 125, n. 2, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1029/2019JD030923
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- Article
The Role of the Stratosphere in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction: 1. Predictability of the Stratosphere.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2020, v. 125, n. 2, p. N.PAG, doi. 10.1029/2019JD030920
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- Article
Weakening of the Teleconnection From El Niño–Southern Oscillation to the Arctic Stratosphere Over the Past Few Decades: What Can Be Learned From Subseasonal Forecast Models?
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2019, v. 124, n. 14, p. 7683, doi. 10.1029/2018JD029961
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- Article
Estimating the Frequency of Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events From Surface Observations of the North Atlantic Oscillation.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2019, v. 124, n. 6, p. 3180, doi. 10.1029/2018JD030077
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- Article
Extratropical Atmospheric Predictability From the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in Subseasonal Forecast Models.
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- Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2018, v. 123, n. 15, p. 7855, doi. 10.1029/2018JD028724
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Modeling stratospheric polar vortex variation and identifying vortex extremes using explainable machine learning.
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- Environmental Data Science, 2022, v. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1017/eds.2022.19
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Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate.
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- Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences, 2024, v. 24, n. 5, p. 1555, doi. 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024
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- Article
The Predictability of the Downward Versus Non‐Downward Propagation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in S2S Hindcasts.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 16, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024GL110529
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- Article
Heatwave Location Changes in Relation to Rossby Wave Phase Speed.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 14, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2024GL108159
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- Article
The Role of the Stratosphere in Teleconnections Arising From Fast and Slow MJO Episodes.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, v. 51, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL104826
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- Article
Increasing Intensity of Extreme Heatwaves: The Crucial Role of Metrics.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2023, v. 50, n. 14, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023GL103540
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- Article
Tropospheric Role in the Predictability of the Surface Impact of the 2018 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event.
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- Geophysical Research Letters, 2022, v. 49, n. 1, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2021GL095464
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- Article