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Understanding the Mechanisms for Tropical Surface Impacts of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation (QBO).
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2023, v. 128, n. 15, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2023JD038474
By:
- García‐Franco, Jorge L.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Jaison, Aleena M.;
- Chadwick, Robin;
- Lin, Jonathan
Publication type:
Article
Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi).
Published in:
Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2017, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/gmd-2017-187
By:
- Butchart, Neal;
- Anstey, James A.;
- Hamilton, Kevin;
- Osprey, Scott;
- McLandress, Charles;
- Bushell, Andrew C.;
- Yoshio Kawatani;
- Lott, Francois;
- Scinocca, John;
- Stockdale, Tim;
- Bellprat, Omar;
- Braesicke, Peter;
- Cagnazzo, Chiara;
- Chih-Chieh Chen;
- Hye-Yeong Chun;
- Dobrynin, Mikhail;
- Garcia, Rolando R.;
- Garcia-Serrano, Javier;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Holt, Laura
Publication type:
Article
Mechanisms of influence of the Semi‐Annual Oscillation on stratospheric sudden warmings.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 744, p. 1223, doi. 10.1002/qj.4256
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Lu, Hua;
- Brown, Matthew J.;
- Knight, Jeff R.;
- Andrews, Martin B.
Publication type:
Article
Teleconnections of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in a multi‐model ensemble of QBO‐resolving models.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 744, p. 1568, doi. 10.1002/qj.4048
By:
- Anstey, James A.;
- Simpson, Isla R.;
- Richter, Jadwiga H.;
- Naoe, Hiroaki;
- Taguchi, Masakazu;
- Serva, Federico;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Hamilton, Kevin;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Bellprat, Omar;
- Braesicke, Peter;
- Bushell, Andrew C.;
- Cagnazzo, Chiara;
- Chen, Chih‐Chieh;
- Chun, Hye‐Yeong;
- Garcia, Rolando R.;
- Holt, Laura;
- Kawatani, Yoshio;
- Kerzenmacher, Tobias
Publication type:
Article
Response of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation to a warming climate in global climate models.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022, v. 148, n. 744, p. 1490, doi. 10.1002/qj.3749
By:
- Richter, Jadwiga H.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Kawatani, Yoshio;
- Bushell, Andrew C.;
- Holt, Laura;
- Serva, Federico;
- Anstey, James;
- Simpson, Isla R.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Hamilton, Kevin;
- Braesicke, Peter;
- Cagnazzo, Chiara;
- Chen, Chih‐Chieh;
- Garcia, Rolando R.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Kerzenmacher, Tobias;
- Lott, Francois;
- McLandress, Charles;
- Naoe, Hiroaki;
- Scinocca, John
Publication type:
Article
On the role of Rossby wave breaking in the quasi‐biennial modulation of the stratospheric polar vortex during boreal winter.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2020, v. 146, n. 729, p. 1939, doi. 10.1002/qj.3775
By:
- Lu, Hua;
- Hitchman, Matthew H.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Anstey, James A.;
- Osprey, Scott M.
Publication type:
Article
The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal‐to‐noise paradox.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2019, v. 145, n. 718, p. 131, doi. 10.1002/qj.3413
By:
- O'Reilly, Christopher H.;
- Weisheimer, Antje;
- Woollings, Tim;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- MacLeod, Dave
Publication type:
Article
Surface impacts of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation.
Published in:
Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2018, v. 18, n. 11, p. 8227, doi. 10.5194/acp-18-8227-2018
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Anstey, James A.;
- Kawatani, Yoshio;
- Lu, Hua;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Schenzinger, Verena
Publication type:
Article
Introduction to the SPARC Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP) and overview of the reanalysis systems.
Published in:
Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics, 2017, v. 17, n. 2, p. 1417, doi. 10.5194/acp-17-1417-2017
By:
- Masatomo Fujiwara;
- Wright, Jonathon S.;
- Manney, Gloria L.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Anstey, James;
- Birner, Thomas;
- Davis, Sean;
- Gerber, Edwin P.;
- Harvey, V. Lynn;
- Hegglin, Michaela I.;
- Homeyer, Cameron R.;
- Knox, John A.;
- Krüger, Kirstin;
- Lambert, Alyn;
- Long, Craig S.;
- Martineau, Patrick;
- Molod, Andrea;
- Monge-Sanz, Beatriz M.;
- Santee, Michelle L.;
- Tegtmeier, Susann
Publication type:
Article
Tropical stratospheric zonal winds in ECMWF ERA-40 reanalysis, rocketsonde data, and rawinsonde data.
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, 2005, v. 32, n. 9, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2004GL022328
By:
- Baldwin, Mark P.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
The influence of the equatorial upper stratosphere on stratospheric sudden warmings.
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, 2003, v. 30, n. 4, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2002GL016430
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
The role of specific humidity fields in the diagnosis of stratosphere troposphere exchange.
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, 1994, v. 21, n. 19, p. 2103, doi. 10.1029/94GL01909
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Bithell, Michael;
- Cox, Barbara D.
Publication type:
Article
The tropical route of quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) teleconnections in a climate model.
Published in:
Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, v. 3, n. 3, p. 825, doi. 10.5194/wcd-3-825-2022
By:
- García-Franco, Jorge L.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Chadwick, Robin;
- Martin, Zane
Publication type:
Article
The tropical route of QBO teleconnections in a climate model.
Published in:
Weather & Climate Dynamics, 2022, p. 1, doi. 10.5194/wcd-2022-14
By:
- García-Franco, Jorge L.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Chadwick, Robin;
- Martin, Zane
Publication type:
Article
High- and low-frequency 11-year solar cycle signatures in the Southern Hemispheric winter and spring.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2011, v. 137, n. 659, p. 1641, doi. 10.1002/qj.852
By:
- Lu, Hua;
- Jarvis, Martin J.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Baldwin, Mark P.
Publication type:
Article
Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation response to the El Chichón and Pinatubo eruptions in coupled climate models.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2010, v. 136, n. 652, p. 1813, doi. 10.1002/qj.683
By:
- Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;
- Gillett, Nathan P.;
- Dall'Amico, Mauro;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Changes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric variability under increased CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2010, v. 136, n. 650, p. 1181, doi. 10.1002/qj.633
By:
- Bell, Christopher J.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Kettleborough, Jamie
Publication type:
Article
Life cycle of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemispheric winter.
Published in:
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2009, v. 135, n. 641, p. 1030, doi. 10.1002/qj.419
By:
- Lu, Hua;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Baldwin, Mark P.;
- Jarvis, Martin J.
Publication type:
Article
A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models: performance, impacts and future.
Published in:
2021
By:
- Monge-Sanz, Beatriz M.;
- Bozzo, Alessio;
- Byrne, Nicholas;
- Chipperfield, Martyn P.;
- Diamantakis, Michail;
- Flemming, Johannes;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Hogan, Robin J.;
- Jones, Luke;
- Magnusson, Linus;
- Polichtchouk, Inna;
- Shepherd, Theodore G.;
- Wedi, Nils;
- Weisheimer, Antje
Publication type:
Abstract
A practical method to identify displaced and split stratospheric polar vortex events.
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, 2013, v. 40, n. 19, p. 5268, doi. 10.1002/grl.50927
By:
- Seviour, William J. M.;
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Influence of the prescribed solar spectrum on calculations of atmospheric temperature.
Published in:
Geophysical Research Letters, 2008, v. 35, n. 22, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2008GL035993
By:
- Zhong, Wenyi;
- Osprey, Scott M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Haigh, Joanna D.
Publication type:
Article
Stratospheric influence on tropospheric jet streams, storm tracks and surface weather.
Published in:
Nature Geoscience, 2015, v. 8, n. 6, p. 433, doi. 10.1038/ngeo2424
By:
- Kidston, Joseph;
- Scaife, Adam A.;
- Hardiman, Steven C.;
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Baldwin, Mark P.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Observed and Simulated Teleconnections Between the Stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere Winter Atmospheric Circulation.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2019, v. 124, n. 3, p. 1219, doi. 10.1029/2018JD029368
By:
- Andrews, Martin B.;
- Knight, Jeff R.;
- Scaife, Adam A.;
- Lu, Yixiong;
- Wu, Tongwen;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Schenzinger, Verena
Publication type:
Article
Stratospheric polar vortex splits and displacements in the high-top CMIP5 climate models.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2016, v. 121, n. 4, p. 1400, doi. 10.1002/2015JD024178
By:
- Seviour, William J. M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Mitchell, Daniel M.
Publication type:
Article
A lagged response to the 11 year solar cycle in observed winter Atlantic/European weather patterns.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2013, v. 118, n. 24, p. 13,405, doi. 10.1002/2013JD020062
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Scaife, Adam A.;
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Ineson, Sarah;
- Hardiman, Steven;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Knight, Jeff;
- Sutton, Rowan;
- Kodera, Kunihiko
Publication type:
Article
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2012, v. 117, n. D17, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2012JD017607
By:
- Driscoll, Simon;
- Bozzo, Alessio;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Robock, Alan;
- Stenchikov, Georgiy
Publication type:
Article
Influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the frequency of sudden stratospheric warmings.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2011, v. 116, n. D20, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2011JD015757
By:
- Richter, Jadwiga H.;
- Matthes, Katja;
- Calvo, Natalia;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Influence of ozone recovery and greenhouse gas increases on Southern Hemisphere circulation.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2010, v. 115, n. D22, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2010JD014423
By:
- Karpechko, Alexey Y.;
- Gillett, Nathan P.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Dall'Amico, Mauro
Publication type:
Article
Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6.
Published in:
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020, v. 12, n. 6, p. 1, doi. 10.1029/2019MS001995
By:
- Andrews, Martin B.;
- Ridley, Jeff K.;
- Wood, Richard A.;
- Andrews, Timothy;
- Blockley, Edward W.;
- Booth, Ben;
- Burke, Eleanor;
- Dittus, Andrea J.;
- Florek, Piotr;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Haddad, Stephen;
- Hardiman, Steven C.;
- Hermanson, Leon;
- Hodson, Dan;
- Hogan, Emma;
- Jones, Gareth S.;
- Knight, Jeff R.;
- Kuhlbrodt, Till;
- Misios, Stergios;
- Mizielinski, Matthew S.
Publication type:
Article
A wavelet transform method to determine monsoon onset and retreat from precipitation time‐series.
Published in:
International Journal of Climatology, 2021, v. 41, n. 11, p. 5295, doi. 10.1002/joc.7130
By:
- García‐Franco, Jorge L.;
- Osprey, Scott;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005–2016.
Published in:
International Journal of Climatology, 2018, v. 38, n. 14, p. 5050, doi. 10.1002/joc.5815
By:
- Robson, Jon;
- Sutton, Rowan T.;
- Archibald, Alex;
- Cooper, Fenwick;
- Christensen, Matthew;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Holliday, N. Penny;
- Macintosh, Claire;
- McMillan, Malcolm;
- Moat, Ben;
- Russo, Maria;
- Tilling, Rachel;
- Carslaw, Ken;
- Desbruyères, Damien;
- Embury, Owen;
- Feltham, Daniel L.;
- Grosvenor, Daniel P.;
- Josey, Simon;
- King, Brian;
- Lewis, Alastair
Publication type:
Article
Characterization of the 11-Year Solar Signal Using a Multiple Regression Analysis of the ERA-40 Dataset.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2005, v. 18, n. 7, p. 996, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-3308.1
By:
- Crooks, Simon A.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Decadal-scale changes in the effect of the QBO on the northern stratospheric polar vortex.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2008, v. 113, n. D10, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2007JD009647
By:
- Lu, Hua;
- Baldwin, Mark P.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Jarvis, Martin J.
Publication type:
Article
Quasi-biennial oscillation and tracer distributions in a coupled chemistry-climate model.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2006, v. 111, n. D20, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2005JD006871
By:
- Tian, Wenshou;
- Chipperfield, Martyn P.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Zawodny, Joseph M.
Publication type:
Article
The quasi-biennial oscillation: Analysis using ERA-40 data.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 2005, v. 110, n. D8, p. n/a, doi. 10.1029/2004JD004941
By:
- Pascoe, Charlotte L.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Crooks, Simon A.;
- Juckes, Martin N.;
- Baldwin, Mark P.
Publication type:
Article
Modeling quasi-biennial variability in the semiannual double peak.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 1997, v. 102, n. D13, p. 16169, doi. 10.1029/97JD00867
By:
- Kennaugh, Richard;
- Ruth, Sarah;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Seasonal, semiannual, and interannual variability seen in measurements of methane made by the UARS Halogen Occultation Experiment.
Published in:
Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 1997, v. 102, n. D13, p. 16189, doi. 10.1029/97JD00868
By:
- Ruth, Sarah;
- Kennaugh, Richard;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Russell, J. M.
Publication type:
Article
Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum.
Published in:
Nature Communications, 2015, v. 6, n. 6, p. 7535, doi. 10.1038/ncomms8535
By:
- Ineson, Sarah;
- Maycock, Amanda C.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Scaife, Adam A.;
- Dunstone, Nick J.;
- Harder, Jerald W.;
- Knight, Jeff R.;
- Lockwood, Mike;
- Manners, James C.;
- Wood, Richard A.
Publication type:
Article
The Effects of a Well-Resolved Stratosphere on the Simulated Boreal Winter Circulation in a Climate Model.
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2019, v. 76, n. 5, p. 1203, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-18-0206.1
By:
- Kawatani, Yoshio;
- Watanabe, Shingo;
- Yamashita, Yousuke;
- Hamilton, Kevin;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Osprey, Scott M.
Publication type:
Article
How Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Affect the Stratospheric Polar Vortex?
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2014, v. 71, n. 1, p. 391, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-13-096.1
By:
- Watson, Peter A. G.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
Correction.
Published in:
2012
By:
- MITCHELL, DANIEL M.;
- OSPREY, SCOTT M.;
- GRAY, LESLEY J.;
- BUTCHART, NEAL;
- HARDIMAN, STEVEN C.;
- CHARLTON-PEREZ, ANDREW J.;
- WATSON, PETER
Publication type:
Correction Notice
The Effect of Climate Change on the Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex.
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2012, v. 69, n. 8, p. 2608, doi. 10.1175/JAS-D-12-021.1
By:
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Osprey, Scott M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Hardiman, Steven C.;
- Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.;
- Watson, Peter
Publication type:
Article
Characterizing the Variability and Extremes of the Stratospheric Polar Vortices Using 2D Moment Analysis.
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, v. 68, n. 6, p. 1194, doi. 10.1175/2010JAS3555.1
By:
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.;
- Gray, Lesley J.
Publication type:
Article
The Climatology of the Middle Atmosphere in a Vertically Extended Version of the Met Office''s Climate Model. Part II: Variability.
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2010, v. 67, n. 11, p. 3637, doi. 10.1175/2010JAS3338.1
By:
- Osprey, Scott M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Hardiman, Steven C.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- Bushell, Andrew C.;
- Hinton, Tim J.
Publication type:
Article
Solar and QBO Influences on the Timing of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings.
Published in:
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2004, v. 61, n. 23, p. 2777, doi. 10.1175/JAS-3297.1
By:
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Crooks, Simon;
- Pascoe, Charlotte;
- Sparrow, Sarah;
- Palmer, Michael
Publication type:
Article
Preconditioning of Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex Shift Events.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2018, v. 31, n. 14, p. 5417, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0695.1
By:
- Huang, Jinlong;
- Tian, Wenshou;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Zhang, Jiankai;
- Li, Yan;
- Luo, Jiali;
- Tian, Hongying
Publication type:
Article
Stratospheric Response to the 11-Yr Solar Cycle: Breaking Planetary Waves, Internal Reflection, and Resonance.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 18, p. 7169, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0023.1
By:
- Lu, Hua;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- White, Ian P.;
- Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
Publication type:
Article
Downward Wave Reflection as a Mechanism for the Stratosphere–Troposphere Response to the 11-Yr Solar Cycle.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2017, v. 30, n. 7, p. 2395, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0400.1
By:
- HUA LU;
- SCAIFE, ADAM A.;
- MARSHALL, GARETH J.;
- TURNER, JOHN;
- GRAY, LESLEY J.
Publication type:
Article
Skillful Seasonal Prediction of the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic Ozone.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2014, v. 27, n. 19, p. 7462, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00264.1
By:
- Seviour, William J. M.;
- Hardiman, Steven C.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Butchart, Neal;
- MacLachlan, Craig;
- Scaife, Adam A.
Publication type:
Article
The Influence of Stratospheric Vortex Displacements and Splits on Surface Climate.
Published in:
Journal of Climate, 2013, v. 26, n. 8, p. 2668, doi. 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00030.1
By:
- Mitchell, Daniel M.;
- Gray, Lesley J.;
- Anstey, James;
- Baldwin, Mark P.;
- Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.
Publication type:
Article

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