Works matching DE "PROBABILITY forecasts (Meteorology)"
Results: 199
Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios.
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- Climatic Change, 2010, v. 103, n. 3/4, p. 399, doi. 10.1007/s10584-009-9763-3
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UNANIMITY AND COMPROMISE AMONG PROBABILITY FORECASTERS.
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- Management Science, 1990, v. 36, n. 7, p. 767, doi. 10.1287/mnsc.36.7.767
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An ex-ante evaluation of the use of seasonal climate forecasts for millet growers in SW Niger.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2012, v. 32, n. 5, p. 759, doi. 10.1002/joc.2308
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Probabilistic methods for seasonal forecasting in a changing climate: Cox-type regression models.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2010, v. 30, n. 15, p. 2277, doi. 10.1002/joc.2042
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Recent severe heat waves in central Europe: how to view them in a long-term prospect?
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2010, v. 30, n. 1, p. 89, doi. 10.1002/joc.1874
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The El Nino-Southern Oscillation and winter precipitation extremes over India.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2008, v. 28, n. 11, p. 1445, doi. 10.1002/joc.1639
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Calibration of PRECIS in employing future scenarios in Bangladesh.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2008, v. 28, n. 5, p. 617, doi. 10.1002/joc.1559
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Long lead rainfall forecasts for the Australian sugar industry.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2008, v. 28, n. 1, p. 111, doi. 10.1002/joc.1513
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The use of time series modeling for the determination of rainfall climates of Iran.
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2007, v. 27, n. 6, p. 819, doi. 10.1002/joc.1427
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Binary Logistic Regression Models for short term prediction of premonsoon convective developments over Kolkata (India).
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- International Journal of Climatology, 2007, v. 27, n. 6, p. 831, doi. 10.1002/joc.1449
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An Evaluation of a Drop Distribution–Based Polarimetric Radar Rainfall Estimator.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology (1988), 2003, v. 42, n. 5, p. 652, doi. 10.1175/1520-0450(2003)042<0652:AEOADD>2.0.CO;2
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Secondary Forecast Models--The ENSO Example.
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- Journal of Applied Meteorology (1988), 2000, v. 39, n. 11, p. 1952, doi. 10.1175/1520-0450(2000)039<1952:SFMTEE>2.0.CO;2
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Development of an Operational Nearshore Wave Forecast System for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
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- Journal of Coastal Research, 2012, v. 28, n. 5, p. 1049, doi. 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-11-00132.1
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Introducing uncertainty of radar-rainfall estimates to the verification of mesoscale model precipitation forecasts.
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- Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences, 2008, v. 8, n. 3, p. 445, doi. 10.5194/nhess-8-445-2008
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Probabilistic forecast of daily areal precipitation focusing on extreme events.
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- Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences, 2007, v. 7, n. 2, p. 263, doi. 10.5194/nhess-7-263-2007
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Probability forecasts with observation error: what should be forecast?
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- Meteorological Applications, 2017, v. 24, n. 2, p. 276, doi. 10.1002/met.1626
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Performance targets and the Brier score.
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- Meteorological Applications, 2007, v. 14, n. 2, p. 185, doi. 10.1002/met.21
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Evaluating the trade-offs between ensemble size and ensemble resolution in an ensemble-variational data assimilation system.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2017, v. 9, n. 2, p. 781, doi. 10.1002/2016MS000864
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A new method for determining the optimal lagged ensemble.
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- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2017, v. 9, n. 1, p. 291, doi. 10.1002/2016MS000838
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Statistical Postprocessing of High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Output.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2015, v. 143, n. 5, p. 1533, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00159.1
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A Comparison of the Canadian Global and Regional Meteorological Ensemble Prediction Systems for Short-Term Hydrological Forecasting.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2013, v. 141, n. 10, p. 3462, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00206.1
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The Generalized Discrimination Score for Ensemble Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2011, v. 139, n. 9, p. 3069, doi. 10.1175/MWR-D-10-05069.1
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Summary Verification Measures and Their Interpretation for Ensemble Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2011, v. 139, n. 9, p. 3075, doi. 10.1175/2010MWR3305.1
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Regularized Logistic Models for Probabilistic Forecasting and Diagnostics.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2010, v. 138, n. 2, p. 592, doi. 10.1175/2009MWR3126.1
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Verification of The Weather Channel Probability of Precipitation Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 12, p. 4867, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2547.1
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Some Remarks on the Reliability of Categorical Probability Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 11, p. 4488, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2329.1
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Impact of Stochastic Convection on the Ensemble Transform.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 11, p. 4517, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2453.1
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Markov Chain Modeling of Sequences of Lagged NWP Ensemble Probability Forecasts: An Exploration of Model Properties and Decision Support Applications.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 10, p. 3655, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2376.1
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Skill of Multimodel ENSO Probability Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 10, p. 3933, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2431.1
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Statistical Prediction of Weekly Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Southern Hemisphere.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 10, p. 3637, doi. 10.1175/2008MWR2426.1
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A Perfect Prognosis Scheme for Forecasting Warm-Season Lightning over Florida.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 6, p. 1817, doi. 10.1175/2007MWR2222.1
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Using Observed Spatial Correlation Structures to Increase the Skill of Subseasonal Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 6, p. 1923, doi. 10.1175/2007MWR2255.1
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Information-Based Skill Scores for Probabilistic Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2008, v. 136, n. 1, p. 352, doi. 10.1175/2007MWR1931.1
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Preemptive Forecasts Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 10, p. 3484, doi. 10.1175/MWR3480.1
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Verification of an Ensemble Prediction System against Observations.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 7, p. 2688, doi. 10.1175/MWR3414.1
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Monthly Forecast of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Using a Coupled GCM.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 7, p. 2700, doi. 10.1175/MWR3415.1
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Estimation of Predictability with a Newly Derived Index to Quantify Similarity among Ensemble Members.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 7, p. 2674, doi. 10.1175/MWR3418.1
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Generalization of the Discrete Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores for Weighted Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 7, p. 2778, doi. 10.1175/MWR3428.1
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A Transformed Lagged Ensemble Forecasting Technique for Increasing Ensemble Size.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 4, p. 1424, doi. 10.1175/MWR3357.1
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Conditional Exceedance Probabilities.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 2, p. 363, doi. 10.1175/MWR3284.1
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The Discrete Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2007, v. 135, n. 1, p. 118, doi. 10.1175/MWR3280.1
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Sensitivity Analysis of Convection of the 24 May 2002 IHOP Case Using Very Large Ensembles.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2006, v. 134, n. 1, p. 192, doi. 10.1175/MWR3061.1
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Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2005, v. 133, n. 5, p. 1098, doi. 10.1175/MWR2904.1
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On Using “Climatology” as a Reference Strategy in the Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2004, v. 132, n. 7, p. 1891, doi. 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<1891:OUCAAR>2.0.CO;2
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Ensemble Generation for Models of Multimodal Systems.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2002, v. 130, n. 9, p. 2313, doi. 10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<2313:EGFMOM>2.0.CO;2
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Accuracy and Potential Economic Value of Categorical and Probabilistic Forecasts of Discrete Events.
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- Monthly Weather Review, 2001, v. 129, n. 9, p. 2329, doi. 10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<2329:AAPEVO>2.0.CO;2
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Comparison and Combination of Regional and Global Ensemble Prediction Systems for Probabilistic Predictions of Hub-Height Wind Speed.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2015, v. 30, n. 5, p. 1234, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0021.1
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Precipitation Calibration Based on the Frequency-Matching Method.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2015, v. 30, n. 5, p. 1109, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00049.1
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Prediction of Consensus Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Error.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2014, v. 29, n. 3, p. 750, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00058.1
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The Calibration Simplex: A Generalization of the Reliability Diagram for Three-Category Probability Forecasts.
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- Weather & Forecasting, 2013, v. 28, n. 5, p. 1210, doi. 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00027.1
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