Incomplete Simultaneous Discrete Response Model with Multiple Equilibria.

Tamer, Elei

A bivariate simultaneous discrete response model which is a stochastic representation of equilibria in a two-person discrete game is studied. The presence of multiple equilibria in the underlying discrete game maps into a region for the exogenous variables where the model predicts a nonunique outcome. This is an example of an incomplete econometric structure. Economists using this model have made simplifying assumptions to avoid multiplicity. I make a distinction between incoherent models and incomplete models, and then analyse the model in the presence of multiple equilibria, showing that the model contains enough information to identify the parameters of interest and to obtain a well defined semiparametric estimator. I also show that the latter is consistent and normal. Moreover, by exploiting the presence of multiplicity, one is able to obtain a more efficient estimator than the existing methods.

EQUILIBRIUM; STOCHASTIC analysis; MATHEMATICAL variables; STOCHASTIC systems; ECONOMETRICS; ECONOMISTS; ECONOMIC models; MATHEMATICAL analysis

Review of Economic Studies, 2003, Vol 70, Issue 1, p147

0034-6527

Academic Journal

10.1111/1467-937X.00240