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- Title
What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence.
- Authors
Hasan, Iftekhar; Horvath, Roman; Mares, Jan
- Abstract
We examine the effect of finance on long-term economic growth using Bayesian model averaging to address model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions. The literature largely focuses on financial indicators that assess the financial depth of banks and stock markets. We examine these indicators jointly with newly developed indicators that assess the stability and efficiency of financial markets. Once we subject the finance-growth regressions to model uncertainty, our results suggest that commonly used indicators of financial development are not robustly related to long-term growth. However, the findings from our global sample indicate that one newly developed indicator—the efficiency of financial intermediaries—is robustly related to long-term growth.
- Subjects
BAYESIAN analysis; MATHEMATICAL models of economic development; STOCK exchanges; ECONOMIC indicators; FINANCIAL markets; MATHEMATICAL models
- Publication
World Bank Economic Review, 2018, Vol 32, Issue 2, p383
- ISSN
0258-6770
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1093/wber/lhw029