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- Title
Electrical Energy Prediction in Residential Buildings for Short-Term Horizons Using Hybrid Deep Learning Strategy.
- Authors
Khan, Zulfiqar Ahmad; Ullah, Amin; Ullah, Waseem; Rho, Seungmin; Lee, Miyoung; Baik, Sung Wook
- Abstract
Smart grid technology based on renewable energy and energy storage systems are attracting considerable attention towards energy crises. Accurate and reliable model for electricity prediction is considered a key factor for a suitable energy management policy. Currently, electricity consumption is rapidly increasing due to the rise in human population and technology development. Therefore, in this study, we established a two-step methodology for residential building load prediction, which comprises two stages: in the first stage, the raw data of electricity consumption are refined for effective training; and the second step includes a hybrid model with the integration of convolutional neural network (CNN) and multilayer bidirectional gated recurrent unit (MB-GRU). The CNN layers are incorporated into the model as a feature extractor, while MB-GRU learns the sequences between electricity consumption data. The proposed model is evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) metrics. Finally, our model is assessed over benchmark datasets that exhibited an extensive drop in the error rate in comparison to other techniques. The results indicated that the proposed model reduced errors over the individual household electricity consumption prediction (IHEPC) dataset (i.e., RMSE (5%), MSE (4%), and MAE (4%)), and for the appliances load prediction (AEP) dataset (i.e., RMSE (2%), and MAE (1%)).
- Subjects
BLENDED learning; CONVOLUTIONAL neural networks; LOAD forecasting (Electric power systems); SMART power grids; DEEP learning; FORECASTING; ELECTRICAL energy
- Publication
Applied Sciences (2076-3417), 2020, Vol 10, Issue 23, p8634
- ISSN
2076-3417
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3390/app10238634