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- Title
A Game-Theoretic Model of Cholera with Optimal Personal Protection Strategies.
- Authors
Kobe, Julia; Pritchard, Neil; Short, Ziaqueria; Erovenko, Igor V.; Rychtář, Jan; Rowell, Jonathan T.
- Abstract
Cholera is an acute gastro-intestinal infection that affects millions of people throughout the world each year, primarily but not exclusively in developing countries. Because of its public health ramifications, considerable mathematical attention has been paid to the disease. Here we consider one neglected aspect of combating cholera: personal participation in anti-cholera interventions. We construct a game-theoretic model of cholera in which individuals choose whether to participate in either vaccination or clean water consumption programs under assumed costs. We find that relying upon individual compliance significantly lowers the incidence of the disease as long as the cost of intervention is sufficiently low, but does not eliminate it. The relative costs of the measures determined whether a population preferentially adopts a single preventative measure or employs the measure with the strongest early adoption.
- Subjects
CHOLERA vaccines; WATER consumption; GAME theory; DISEASE incidence; DEVELOPING countries
- Publication
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 2018, Vol 80, Issue 10, p2580
- ISSN
0092-8240
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s11538-018-0476-5