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- Title
Tze Leung Lai and Anna Choi's contribution to the Discussion of 'Testing by betting: A strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer.
- Authors
Lai, Tze Leung; Choi, Anna
- Abstract
Betting scores are particularly relevant in this momentous year of intensive global search for COVID-19 vaccines and treatments, and upcoming presidential and congressional elections in the United States, about which pundits keep giving time-varying forecasts of the outcomes while betting markets on presidential election odds have been particularly active, similar to online sports betting markets. It is exciting to follow Glenn Shafer's investigations into forecasting, betting, reasoning with uncertainty and foundational issues in probability, beginning with his 1973 PhD thesis at Princeton and culminating in Shafer (1976) on the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and its evolution during the past five decades to the present paper on betting scores and game-theoretic probability.
- Subjects
SCIENTIFIC communication; UNITED States Congressional elections; UNITED States presidential elections; DEMPSTER-Shafer theory; CRITICAL discourse analysis
- Publication
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 2021, Vol 184, Issue 2, p454
- ISSN
0964-1998
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/rssa.12662