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- Title
Підхід до проектування систем підтримки прийняття управлінських рішень в умовах ризику та невизначеності.
- Authors
Мулеса, О. Ю.; Білак, Ю. Ю.
- Abstract
The research is devoted to the development of the structure of the management decision support system in conditions of risk and uncertainty. Multistage management decision-making processes are considered. The sequence of stages that arise in the following processes is analyzed: from the formation of many alternatives to the choice of the optimal, from the point of view of the decision maker, alternatives. Verbal and mathematical formulations of decision-making problems in conditions of risk and uncertainty are given. The peculiarities of all stages of decision-making are analyzed and the list of tasks that arise at each stage is given. It is noted that to increase the efficiency of management decision-making processes, it is advisable to provide the ability to solve problems that arise, methods of data mining, statistical methods of data analysis, methods of decision theory, and so on. The structural and functional scheme of the decision support system in conditions of risk and uncertainty is developed. It is shown that it is logical to divide the functional block of the decision support system into two parts: the block of analysis of input data and expert opinions and the block of selection of optimal alternatives. An important component of the decision support system is a database and knowledge in which both the input data and the results of the application of the models and methods included in the system are accumulated. Adherence to the proposed scheme in the design of software products for decision-making tasks in various subject areas, will make these software products holistic and universal. The use of such software products will ensure the independence of the decision-maker at all stages of management decisions in conditions of risk and uncertainty.
- Subjects
DECISION support systems; DECISION theory; PROBLEM solving; PRODUCT design software; DATA mining
- Publication
Automation of Technological & Business Processes / Avtomatizaciâ Tehnologiceskih i Biznes-Processov, 2021, Vol 13, Issue 3, p30
- ISSN
2312-3125
- Publication type
Article