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- Title
Performance status: A key factor in predicting mortality in the first wave of COVID-19 in South-East Scotland.
- Authors
Mutch, Callum P.; Ross, Daniella A.; Bularga, Anda; Rose Cave, Roo Nicola; Chase-Topping, Margo E.; Anand, Atul; Mills, Nicholas L.; Koch, Oliver; Mackintosh, Claire L.; Perry, Meghan R.
- Abstract
Background: COVID-19 mortality risk factors have been established in large cohort studies; long-term mortality outcomes are less documented. Methods: We performed multivariable logistic regression to identify factors associated with in-patient mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in symptomatic COVID-19 patients admitted to hospitals in South-East Scotland from 1st March to 30th June 2020. One-year mortality was reviewed. Results: Of 726 patients (median age 72; interquartile range: 58–83years, 55% male), 104 (14%) required ICU admission and 199 (27%) died in hospital. A further 64 died between discharge and 30th June 2021 (36% overall 1-year mortality). Stepwise logistic regression identified age >79 (odds ratio (OR), 4.77 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.96–12.75)), male sex (OR, 1.83 (95% CI, 1.21–2.80)) and higher European Cooperative Oncology Group/World Health Organization performance status as associated with higher mortality risk. Discussion: Poor functional baseline was the predominant independent risk factor for mortality in COVID-19. More than one-third of individuals had died by 1year following admission
- Publication
Journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, 2022, Vol 52, Issue 3, p204
- ISSN
1478-2715
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1177/14782715221120137