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- Title
Synchronous failure: the emerging causal architecture of global crisis.
- Authors
Homer-Dixon, Thomas; Walker, Brian; Biggs, Reinette; Crépin, Anne-Sophie; Folke, Carl; Lambin, Eric F.; Peterson, Garry D.; Rockström, Johan; Scheffer, Marten; Steffen, Will; Troell, Max
- Abstract
Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern's deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system's behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework's propositions.
- Subjects
BUSHMEAT hunting; ECOSYSTEM management; TROPICAL climate; SUSTAINABILITY; ENERGY shortages
- Publication
Ecology & Society, 2015, Vol 20, Issue 3, p249
- ISSN
1708-3087
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5751/ES-07681-200306