We found a match
Your institution may have rights to this item. Sign in to continue.
- Title
Visualizing Multiple Measures of Forecast Quality.
- Authors
Roebber, Paul J.
- Abstract
A method for visually representing multiple measures of dichotomous (yes–no) forecast quality (probability of detection, false alarm ratio, bias, and critical success index) in a single diagram is presented. Illustration of the method is provided using performance statistics from two previously published forecast verification studies (snowfall density and convective initiation) and a verification of several new forecast datasets: Storm Prediction Center forecasts of severe storms (nontornadic and tornadic), Hydrometeorological Prediction Center forecasts of heavy precipitation (greater than 12.5 mm in a 6-h period), National Weather Service Forecast Office terminal aviation forecasts (ceiling and visibility), and medium-range ensemble forecasts of 500-hPa height anomalies. The use of such verification metrics in concert with more detailed investigations to advance forecasting is briefly discussed.
- Subjects
WEATHER forecasting; ATMOSPHERIC density; STORMS; ENVIRONMENTAL disasters; METEOROLOGICAL precipitation; VISIBILITY
- Publication
Weather & Forecasting, 2009, Vol 24, Issue 2, p601
- ISSN
0882-8156
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1175/2008WAF2222159.1