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- Title
Risk-informed representative earthquake scenarios for Valparaíso and Viña del Mar, Chile.
- Authors
Rosero-Velásquez, Hugo; Monsalve, Mauricio; Zapata, Juan Camilo Gómez; Ferrario, Elisa; Poulos, Alan; Llera, Juan Carlos de la; Straub, Daniel
- Abstract
Different risk management tasks, such as land-use planning, preparedness and emergency response, utilize scenarios of earthquake events. A systematic selection of such scenarios should aim at finding those that are representative of a certain severity, which can be measured by its consequences to the exposed assets. For this reason, it has been proposed to define a representative scenario as the most likely one leading to a loss with a specific return period, e.g., the 100-year loss. We adopt this definition and develop enhanced algorithms for determining such scenarios for multiple return periods, based on a seismic catalog. With this approach, we identify representative earthquake scenarios for the Valparaíso and Viña del Mar communes in Chile. Because the earthquake scenarios are defined in terms of the loss exceedance, the scenarios vary in function of the exposed system. In this contribution, we consider separately the residential building stock and the electrical power network, and identify and compare earthquake scenarios that are representative for these systems.
- Subjects
EARTHQUAKE hazard analysis; EARTHQUAKES; EARTH system science; EMERGENCY management; SYSTEM failures; GROUND motion
- Publication
Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2023, p1
- ISSN
2195-9269
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5194/nhess-2023-186