We found a match
Your institution may have rights to this item. Sign in to continue.
- Title
An extended Kalman-filter for regional scale inverse emission estimation.
- Authors
Brunner, D.; Henne, S.; Keller, C. A.; Reimann, S.; Vollmer, M. K.; O'Doherty, S.; Maione, M.
- Abstract
A Kalman-filter based inverse emission estimation method for long-lived trace gases is presented for use in conjunction with a Lagrangian particle dispersion model like FLEXPART. The sequential nature of the approach allows tracing slow seasonal and interannual changes rather than estimating a single period-mean emission field. Other important features include the estimation of a slowly varying concentration background at each measurement station, the possibility to constrain the solution to non-negative emissions, the quantification of uncertainties, the consideration of temporal correlations in the residuals, and the applicability to potentially large inversion problems. The method is first demonstrated for a set of synthetic observations created from a prescribed emission field with different levels of (correlated) noise, which closely mimics true observations. It is then applied to real observations of the three halocarbons HFC-125, HFC-152a and HCFC-141b at the remote research stations Jungfraujoch and Mace Head for the quantification of emissions in Western European countries from 2006 to 2010. Estimated HFC-125 emissions are mostly consistent with national totals reported to the Kyoto protocol and show a generally increasing trend over the considered period. Results for HFC-152a are much more variable with estimated emissions being both higher and lower in different countries. The highest emissions of the order of 1000Mg yr-1 are estimated for Italy which so far does not report HFC-152a emissions. Emissions of HCFC-141b show a continuing strong decrease as expected due to its ban under the Montreal Protocol. Emissions from France, however, were still rather large (near 1000Mg yr-1) in the years 2006 and 2007 but strongly declined thereafter.
- Subjects
KALMAN filtering; EMISSIONS (Air pollution); INVERSION (Geophysics); TRACE gases; ESTIMATION theory; STATISTICAL correlation; METEOROLOGICAL observations
- Publication
Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2011, Vol 11, Issue 10, p29195
- ISSN
1680-7367
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5194/acpd-11-29195-2011