We found a match
Your institution may have rights to this item. Sign in to continue.
- Title
Cost-utility analysis of molnupiravir for high-risk, community-based adults with COVID-19: an economic evaluation of the PANORAMIC trial.
- Authors
Png, May Ee; Harris, Victoria; Grabey, Jenna; Hart, Nigel D; Jani, Bhautesh D; Butler, Daniel; Carson-Stevens, Andrew; Coates, Maria; Cureton, Lucy; Dobson, Melissa; Dorward, Jienchi; Evans, Philip; Francis, Nick; Gbinigie, Oghenekome A; Hayward, Gail; Holmes, Jane; Hood, Kerenza; Khoo, Saye; Ahmed, Haroon; Lown, Mark
- Abstract
Background: The cost-effectiveness of molnupiravir, an oral antiviral for early treatment of SARS-CoV-2, has not been established in vaccinated populations. Aim: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of molnupiravir relative to usual care alone among mainly vaccinated community-based people at higher risk of severe outcomes from COVID-19 over 6 months. Design and setting: An economic evaluation of the PANORAMIC trial in the UK. Method: A cost-utility analysis that adopted a UK NHS and personal social services perspective and a 6-month time horizon was performed using PANORAMIC trial data. Cost-effectiveness was expressed in terms of incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses assessed the impacts of uncertainty and heterogeneity. Threshold analysis explored the price for molnupiravir consistent with likely reimbursement. Results: In the base-case analysis, molnupiravir had higher mean costs of £449 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 445 to 453) and higher mean QALYs of 0.0055 (95% CI = 0.0044 to 0.0067) than usual care (mean incremental cost per QALY of £81 190). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses showed similar results, except for those aged ≥75 years, with a 55% probability of being cost-effective at a £30 000 per QALY threshold. Molnupiravir would have to be priced around £147 per course to be cost-effective at a £15 000 per QALY threshold. Conclusion: At the current cost of £513 per course, molnupiravir is unlikely to be cost-effective relative to usual care over a 6-month time horizon among mainly vaccinated patients with COVID-19 at increased risk of adverse outcomes, except those aged ≥75 years.
- Subjects
COVID-19; COST benefit analysis; COST effectiveness; QUALITY-adjusted life years; MOLNUPIRAVIR
- Publication
British Journal of General Practice, 2024, Vol 74, Issue 745, pe570
- ISSN
0960-1643
- Publication type
Article