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- Title
The response of volume and returns to the information shocks in China's commodity futures markets.
- Authors
Gongmeng Chen; Firth, Michael; Yu Xin
- Abstract
This study investigates the response of returns and volume to different information shocks in China's commodity futures markets using bivariate moving average representation (BMAR) and bivariate vector autoregression (BVAR) methodologies. Consistent with the conclusions from stock market studies that have used these methodologies, it is found that the informational/permanent components are the dominant components for returns movements, and the noninformational/transitory components are the dominant components for trading volume. It is also found that the market response of copper futures improved during the sample period, and the market responses of actively traded futures (copper and soybeans) are better than those of the less actively traded futures (aluminum and wheat). © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 25:893–916, 2005
- Subjects
CHINA; COMMODITY futures; AUTOREGRESSION (Statistics); REGRESSION analysis; STOCHASTIC processes; PROBABILITY theory
- Publication
Journal of Futures Markets, 2005, Vol 25, Issue 9, p893
- ISSN
0270-7314
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1002/fut.20165