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- Title
Questões demográficas atuais e implicações para o modelo de atenção à saúde no Brasil.
- Authors
Mendonça Guimarães, Raphael; Rulli Villardi, Juliana Wotzasek; Cavalcante Sampaio, João Roberto; Araujo Eleuterio, Tatiana; Gonçalves Ayres, Andréia Rodrigues; Dantas de Oliveira, Ricardo Antunes
- Abstract
Background: Health surveillance is a health care model that combines public health actions. To this end, it is fundamental to know the population dynamics processes that determine the demographic regime. Objective: To describe the population dynamics in the past 15 years and analyze their projections for the next 15 years. Method: This is an ecological study that analyzed and projected data from Brazil as a whole and its regions between 2000 and 2030. Indicators of age structure, longevity, and standard and level of mortality, birth and fertility were estimated for this period. Results: In Brazil as a whole, mortality and fertility will continue to decline, with important differences between Brazilian regions. Difference in the rhythm of population aging, change in the pattern of fertility, and trend for mortality in the period are highlighted. The projections also evidence that there will be no reduction in these regional inequalities in the short term. Conclusion: It is discussed that health surveillance needs to combine the complex dimensions of the health-disease process related to these changes, building intersectoral public policies that incorporate social determinants of health as territorial conformers in the context of demographic and epidemiological transitions.
- Publication
Cadernos Saúde Coletiva, 2021, Vol 29, p3
- ISSN
1414-462X
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1590/1414-462X202199010436