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- Title
Anarchia és hierarchia az új selyemutakon. Kína partnerkapcsolati stratégiái.
- Authors
LÁSZLÓ, LÁNG
- Abstract
China's gigantic Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is beyond doubt a moving target for research. Having said so, the article strives to find out whether one can identify groups of countries on the new silk roads of the BRI toward which China displays a similar strategic attitude. The answer, confirmed by a simple clustering (based on the z scores of four country-specific variables), is that relatively distinct, 'ideal-typical' groups of countries emerge on the basis of criteria combining the geopolitical and macroeconomic potential of the partner countries and, above all, their compliance with the underlying motives of the BRI, while individual 'deviant' cases that deserve to be treated separately are also of particular import. In the case of countries with a smaller geo-economic and political potential, China is acting with its traditional (neo-)mercantilism, which can of course be complemented by (energy) transport and military logistical priorities. For another group of partners, there are traces of a kind of soft hegemonic behaviour, while for another group of partners there are signs of a strategy wavering between hegemony and (neo) institutionalism. In the case of a small group of countries with great resources and geopolitical potential, traditional bilateral diplomacy is complemented by close cooperation in international economic organisations. However, changes in the international or regional context can easily blur the boundaries of these strategic patterns: confrontational mercantilism can turn into more costly hegemony, soft hegemony can harden or even turn into neo-imperialism. The paper adopts a multidisciplinary and holistic approach, attempting to strike a healthy balance between statistical modelling, hampered by the lack of transparent data (and indeed, the complexity of the subject under study), and 'word magic' based solely on theoretical models.
- Subjects
CHINA; INTERNATIONAL economic integration; BELT &; Road Initiative; SMALL states; GEOPOLITICS; MERCANTILE system; GEOTOURISM
- Publication
Külgazdaság, 2022, Vol 66, Issue 7/8, p39
- ISSN
0324-4202
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.47630/KULG.2022.66.7-8.39