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- Title
Updated Estimates of Survival and Cost Effectiveness for Imatinib versus Interferon-α Plus Low-Dose Cytarabine for Newly Diagnosed Chronic-Phase Chronic Myeloid Leukaemia.
- Authors
Reed, Shelby D.; Anstrom, Kevin J.; Li, Yanhong; Schulman, Kevin A.
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: For trials in which participants are followed beyond the main study period to assess long-term outcomes, economic evaluations conducted using short-term data should be systematically updated to reflect new information.For patients treated with imatinib, we used the 60-month data to calibrate the survival curves generated from the original cost-effectiveness model. We used historical data to model survival for patients randomized to IFNα. We updated costs for medical resources using 2006 Medicare reimbursement rates and applied average wholesale prices (AWPs) and wholesale acquisition costs (WACs) to study medications. METHODS: We used 60-month survival data from the IRIS (International Randomized study of Interferon vs STI571) trial to update previously published cost-effectiveness estimates, based on 19 months of follow-up, of imatinib versus interferon (IFN)-α plus low-dose cytarabine in patients with chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukaemia.For patients treated with imatinib, we used the 60-month data to calibrate the survival curves generated from the original cost-effectiveness model. We used historical data to model survival for patients randomized to IFNα. We updated costs for medical resources using 2006 Medicare reimbursement rates and applied average wholesale prices (AWPs) and wholesale acquisition costs (WACs) to study medications. RESULTS: Five-year survival for patients randomized to imatinib was better than predicted in the original model (89.4% vs 83.2%). We estimated remaining life expectancy with first-line imatinib to be 19.1 life-years (3.8 life-years over the original model) and 15.2 QALYs (3.1 QALYs over the original estimate). Estimates for IFNα remained at 9.1 life-years and 6.3 QALYs. When we applied AWPs to study medications, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were $US51 80057 500 per QALY. When we applied WACs, ICERs were $US42 00046 200 per QALY. CONCLUSION: Although the analysis revealed that the original survival estimates were conservative, the updated cost-effectiveness ratios were consistent with, or slightly higher than, the original estimates, depending on the method for assigning costs to study medications.
- Subjects
MYELOID leukemia; IMATINIB; INTERFERONS; SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry); COST effectiveness; CLINICAL trials; PATIENTS; DIAGNOSIS
- Publication
PharmacoEconomics, 2008, Vol 26, Issue 5, p435
- ISSN
1170-7690
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.2165/00019053-200826050-00007