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- Title
A Study on COVID-19 Incidence in Europe through Two SEIR Epidemic Models Which Consider Mixed Contagions from Asymptomatic and Symptomatic Individuals.
- Authors
Nistal, Raúl; de la Sen, Manuel; Gabirondo, Jon; Alonso-Quesada, Santiago; Garrido, Aitor J.; Garrido, Izaskun
- Abstract
The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) on the world has been partially controlled through different measures of social isolation and prophylaxis. Two new SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) models are proposed in order to describe this spread through different countries of Europe. In both models the infectivity of the asymptomatic period during the exposed stage of the disease will be taken into account. The different transmission rates of the SEIR models are calculated by considering the different locations and, more importantly, the lockdown measures implemented in each region. A new classification of these intervention measures will be set and their influence on the values of the transmission rates will be estimated through regression analysis.
- Subjects
EUROPE; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; SOCIAL isolation; REGRESSION analysis; STAY-at-home orders
- Publication
Applied Sciences (2076-3417), 2021, Vol 11, Issue 14, p6266
- ISSN
2076-3417
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3390/app11146266