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- Title
POLARIZACIÓN, PREFERENCIAS PARTIDISTAS Y VOTO ESTRATÉGICO EN ESPAÑA (2015-2019): UNA APROXIMACIÓN AL VOTO ESTRATÉGICO EN EL ESPECTRO DE LA IZQUIERDA.
- Authors
MARTÍN MERCHÁN, JAVIER
- Abstract
This article examines the effect of polarisation on the probability to cast a strategic vote by that segment of the electorate whose first vote choice is a "non-viable" party. To this end, we focus on Spain and on the left-wing spectrum, using the pre-election surveys conducted by the CIS for the 2015, 2016 and 2019 (28A and 10N) general elections. We conclude that polarisation between "viable" parties (PP and PSOE) increases the probability for UP's and MP's ("non-viable" parties) supporters to cast a strategic vote in favour of the PSOE, because it also intensifies the affinity that the left-wing voter feels towards their favourite party among the viable ones (PSOE) and dilutes the distance between the affinity he/she feels for UP/MP and for the PSOE. In other words, polarisation in Spain increases the chances of voting tactically for the PSOE because it alters the partisan preferences of the left-wing electorate.
- Subjects
SPAIN; POLITICAL parties; TACTICAL voting; NEW left (Politics); ELECTIONS; P.S.O.E. (Political party : Spain); PARTIDO Popular (Spain)
- Publication
Revista Jurídica de la Universidad Autonóma de Madrid, 2021, Issue 44, p199
- ISSN
1575-720X
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.15366/rjuam2021.44.007