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- Title
Dolgotrajna oskrba: Projekcija izdatkov v dolgoročni časovni perspektivi.
- Authors
Kidrič, Dušan
- Abstract
Over the long time horizon the range of services for the entire population changes depending on the population trends. All recent demographic projections indicate a steadily rising life expectancy, coupling with a decreasing fertility rate to result in the aging of the population. The percentage of people aged 80+ is expected to triple by the year 2060, with the percentage of the higher age groups increasing even more. The incidence of those in need of health and social services in their daily activities has been exhibiting a change, but it continues to be high and determines the outlay and the amount of work required. Having to conduct a sound public financing and development policy, every country should know, at least roughly, what expenditure to expect in the future. Herein lies the purpose of estimating the spending associated with population aging. This spending also includes the outgoings for long-term care. The paper describes the contentual, statistical, and methodological bases used in age-related expenditures projections by the Ageing Working Group attached to the Economic Policy Committee of the EU. The results of the 2005 projection for Slovenia are also shown.
- Subjects
SLOVENIA; POPULATION aging; DEMOGRAPHY; LIFE expectancy; FERTILITY; SOCIAL services; PUBLIC spending; ECONOMIC policy
- Publication
Kakovostna Starost, 2009, Vol 12, Issue 1, p54
- ISSN
1408-869X
- Publication type
Article