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- Title
A Dynamic Risk Appraisal Model and Its Application in VTS Based on a Cellular Automata Simulation Prediction.
- Authors
Suo, Yongfeng; Sun, Zhihong; Claramunt, Christophe; Yang, Shenhua; Zhang, Zhibing
- Abstract
The successful implementation of Vessel Traffic Services (VTS) relies heavily on human decisions. With the increasing development of maritime traffic, there is an urgent need to provide a sound support for dynamic risk appraisals and decision support. This research introduces a cellular automata (CA) simulation-based modelling approach the objective of which is to analyze and evaluate real-time maritime traffic risks in port environments. The first component is the design of a CA model to monitor ships' behavior and maritime fairway traffic. The second component is the refinement of the modelling approach by combining a cloud model with expert knowledge. The third component establishes a risk assessment model based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. A typical scenario was experimentally implemented to validate the model's efficiency and operationality.
- Subjects
CELLULAR automata; SHIP models; FORECASTING; RISK assessment; NAVAL architecture
- Publication
Sensors (14248220), 2021, Vol 21, Issue 14, p4741
- ISSN
1424-8220
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3390/s21144741