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- Title
Early-warning signals for critical transitions.
- Authors
Scheffer, Marten; Bascompte, Jordi; Brock, William A.; Brovkin, Victor; Carpenter, Stephen R.; Dakos, Vasilis; Held, Hermann; van Nes, Egbert H.; Rietkerk, Max; Sugihara, George
- Abstract
Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.
- Subjects
SOCIAL change; FINANCIAL markets; BIOTIC communities; CLIMATE change; ECOLOGY; CHANGE
- Publication
Nature, 2009, Vol 461, Issue 7260, p53
- ISSN
0028-0836
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1038/nature08227