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- Title
A Modeling Approach to Maintenance Decisions Using Statistical Quality Control and Optimization.
- Authors
Ivy, Julie Simmons; Nembhard, Harriet Black
- Abstract
Maintenance concerns impact systems in every industry and effective maintenance policies are important tools. We present a methodology for maintenance decision making for deteriorating systems under conditions of uncertainty that integrates statistical quality control (SQC) and partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). We use simulation to develop realistic maintenance policies for real-world environments. Specifically, we use SQC techniques to sample and represent real-world systems. These techniques help define the observation distributions and structure for a POMDP. We propose a simulation methodology for integrating SQC and POMDPs in order to develop and valuate optimal maintenance policies as a function of process characteristics, system operating and maintenance costs. A two-state machine replacement problem is used as an example of how the method can be applied. A simulation program developed using Visual Basic for Excel yields results on the optimal probability threshold and on the accuracy of the decisions as a function of the initial belief about the condition of the machine. This work lays a foundation for future research that will help bring maintenance decision models into practice. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
- Subjects
MAINTENANCE; STATISTICAL quality control; SIMULATION methods &; models; DECISION making
- Publication
Quality & Reliability Engineering International, 2005, Vol 21, Issue 4, p355
- ISSN
0748-8017
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1002/qre.616