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- Title
Is predatory publishing a real threat? Evidence from a large database study.
- Authors
Perlin, Marcelo S.; Imasato, Takeyoshi; Borenstein, Denis
- Abstract
Using a database of potential, possible, or probable predatory scholarly open-access journals, the objective of this research is to study the penetration of predatory publications in the Brazilian academic system and the profile of authors in a cross-section empirical study. Based on a massive amount of publications from Brazilian researchers of all disciplines during the 2000-2015 period, we were able to analyze the extent of predatory publications using an econometric modeling. Descriptive statistics indicate that predatory publications represent a small overall proportion, but grew exponentially in the last 5 years. Departing from prior studies, our analysis shows that experienced researchers with a high number of non-indexed publications and PhD obtained locally are more likely to publish in predatory journals. Further analysis shows that once a journal regarded as predatory is listed in the local ranking system, the Qualis, it starts to receive more publications than non-predatory ones.
- Subjects
BRAZIL; PREDATORY publishing; SCHOLARLY publishing; BIBLIOGRAPHIC databases; ECONOMETRIC models; PUBLISHING; DESCRIPTIVE statistics
- Publication
Scientometrics, 2018, Vol 116, Issue 1, p255
- ISSN
0138-9130
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s11192-018-2750-6