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- Title
10<sup>-6</sup> and all that: what do failure probabilities mean?
- Authors
Palmer, Andrew
- Abstract
PIPELINE RELIABILITY analysis appears at first sight to be related to the probability analysis to which everyone is accustomed. In reality, it is substantially different, and the numerical failure probabilities it arrives at are nominal and unrelated to real probabilities. This matters because it misleads the engineer and the wider community, and because it may lead to an illusion of confidence and safety that the analysis and the underlying data do not begin to justify.The paper discusses the problem, and how codes might be better written.
- Subjects
RELIABILITY in engineering; PIPELINE safety measures; TESTING of pipelines; PIPELINE failures; NOMINAL measurement; PROBABILITY theory
- Publication
Journal of Pipeline Engineering, 2012, Vol 11, Issue 4, p269
- ISSN
1753-2116
- Publication type
Article