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- Title
Analysis of Collision Accidents in Maritime Transportation by FTA Method.
- Authors
TÖZ, Ali Cemal; BÜBER, Müge; KÖSEOĞLU, Burak; ŞAKAR, Cenk
- Abstract
The aim of this study is to determine the possible causes of collision accidents by using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA). In this study, we were able to examine the potential cause of collision accidents, then develop a fault tree model of the root causes of the accidents using the FTA approach, and finally provide the probability of basic event combinations leading the occurrence of accidents. A total of 62 collision accident reports providing detailed information about the causes of accidents were obtained by Marine Accident Investigation Branch (MAIB) between 2005 and 2020. The study found that most of the factors (E1/Misuse of navigational tools, E3/COLREG Rule-5 (Look-out)) that had the greatest effect on the collision were mainly due to the inadequacy to keep a safe navigation watch. For that reason, the findings of the study are very important in terms of determining the strategies to eliminate the risks for future accident prevention. For future studies, it should collect more accidents data on varying types of ships to improve their prediction performance, incorporate expert opinions with fuzzy evidence into the model to minimize uncertainties, and enhance model expressiveness. In addition, alternative risk assessment methods should be applied considering other types of vessels for better comparisons.
- Subjects
IMPACT (Mechanics); MARITIME contracts; FAULT trees (Reliability engineering); MARINE accidents; NAVIGATION
- Publication
Turkish Journal of Maritime & Marine Sciences, 2022, Vol 8, Issue 1, p15
- ISSN
2564-7016
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.52998/trjmms.971042