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- Title
AN ECONOMIC STUDY FOR IRAQ'S RICE IMPORTS FOR THE PERIOD (1990-2015) and PREDICTION FOR THE PERIED (2016 - 2023).
- Authors
AL - Karawi, H. A.; Al - Badri, B. H.
- Abstract
This research aims at predicting the imported quantities of rice in Iraq for the period 2016- 2023 through the use of the self-regression model (VAR). The values of explanatory variables (local production, population, national income, local price index, of rice consumption), where the predicted values for each of these variables are estimated separately using the moving average method based on the data of the last 10 years. The research concluded that there is no difference between the actual values and the predicted values in the short term. This is the problem that emerged from the research which is the mismatch between these values. Therefore, the research recommended that the short term forecasts be adopted in the formulation of import policies, especially after the validity of the model To predict after testing the predictive power of the model.
- Subjects
IRAQ; RICE exports &; imports; AGRICULTURAL forecasts; IMPORT policy; PRICE indexes; COMMERCE
- Publication
Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2018, Vol 49, Issue 1, p43
- ISSN
0075-0530
- Publication type
Article