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- Title
Excess All-Cause Deaths during Coronavirus Disease Pandemic, Japan, January-May 2020<sup>1</sup>.
- Authors
Takayuki Kawashima; Shuhei Nomura; Yuta Tanoue; Daisuke Yoneoka; Akifumi Eguchi; Sheng Ng, Chris Fook; Kentaro Matsuura; Shoi Shi; Koji Makiyama; Shinya Uryu; Yumi Kawamura; Shinichi Takayanagi; Gilmour, Stuart; Hiroaki Miyata; Tomimasa Sunagawa; Takuri Takahashi; Yuuki Tsuchihashi; Yusuke Kobayashi; Yuzo Arima; Kazuhiko Kanou
- Abstract
To provide insight into the mortality burden of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan, we estimated the excess all-cause deaths for each week during the pandemic, January-May 2020, by prefecture and age group. We applied quasi-Poisson regression models to vital statistics data. Excess deaths were expressed as the range of differences between the observed and expected number of all-cause deaths and the 95% upper bound of the 1-sided prediction interval. A total of 208-4,322 all-cause excess deaths at the national level indicated a 0.03%-0.72% excess in the observed number of deaths. Prefecture and age structure consistency between the reported COVID-19 deaths and our estimates was weak, suggesting the need to use cause-specific analyses to distinguish between direct and indirect consequences of COVID-19.
- Subjects
JAPAN; COVID-19; COVID-19 pandemic; MORTALITY; VITAL statistics; PANDEMICS
- Publication
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2021, Vol 27, Issue 3, p789
- ISSN
1080-6040
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3201/eid2703.203925