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- Title
Predicting Soccer Players' Fitness Status Through a Machine-Learning Approach.
- Authors
Mandorino, Mauro; Clubb, Jo; Lacome, Mathieu
- Abstract
Purpose: The study had 3 purposes: (1) to develop an index using machine-learning techniques to predict the fitness status of soccer players, (2) to explore the index's validity and its relationship with a submaximal run test (SMFT), and (3) to analyze the impact of weekly training load on the index and SMFT outcomes. Methods: The study involved 50 players from an Italian professional soccer club. External and internal loads were collected during training sessions. Various machine-learning algorithms were assessed for their ability to predict heart-rate responses during the training drills based on external load data. The fitness index, calculated as the difference between actual and predicted heart rates, was correlated with SMFT outcomes. Results: Random forest regression (mean absolute error = 3.8 [0.05]) outperformed the other machine-learning algorithms (extreme gradient boosting and linear regression). Average speed, minutes from the start of the training session, and the work:rest ratio were identified as the most important features. The fitness index displayed a very large correlation (r =.70) with SMFT outcomes, with the highest result observed during possession games and physical conditioning exercises. The study revealed that heart-rate responses from SMFT and the fitness index could diverge throughout the season, suggesting different aspects of fitness. Conclusions: This study introduces an "invisible monitoring" approach to assess soccer player fitness in the training environment. The developed fitness index, in conjunction with traditional fitness tests, provides a comprehensive understanding of player readiness. This research paves the way for practical applications in soccer, enabling personalized training adjustments and injury prevention.
- Subjects
ITALY; SPORTS injury prevention; EXERCISE physiology; STATISTICAL correlation; SOCCER; RUNNING; INDUSTRIAL psychology; PHYSICAL training &; conditioning; EXERCISE intensity; DESCRIPTIVE statistics; HEART beat; PHYSICAL fitness; RESEARCH; MACHINE learning; EXERCISE tests; REGRESSION analysis; ALGORITHMS
- Publication
International Journal of Sports Physiology & Performance, 2024, Vol 19, Issue 5, p443
- ISSN
1555-0265
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1123/ijspp.2023-0444