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- Title
The roles of rating outlooks: the predictor of creditworthiness and the monitor of recovery efforts.
- Authors
Poon, Winnie P. H.; Shen, Jianfu
- Abstract
Using a comprehensive U.S. rating sample from S&P between 1981 and 2015, we examine the information content, responsiveness to credit risk and recovery efforts associated with rating outlooks. We find that rating outlooks (and credit watches) have important information content and are significantly associated with creditworthiness, measured by expected default frequency. More importantly, we show that by assigning negative outlooks, credit rating agencies induce some issuers to exert recovery efforts to prevent subsequent downgrades. The findings support the theoretical prediction of Boot et al. (Rev Financ Stud 19(1):81–118, 2006) that credit rating actions serve as a coordination mechanism between rating agencies and issuers.
- Subjects
GROUP of Twenty countries; STANDARD &; Poor's Financial Services LLC; CREDIT ratings; CREDIT risk; FORECASTING
- Publication
Review of Quantitative Finance & Accounting, 2020, Vol 55, Issue 3, p1063
- ISSN
0924-865X
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s11156-019-00868-7