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- Title
Impacto da Gestão para Resultados nos Indicadores Criminais do Ceará.
- Authors
de Araújo Carvalho Júnior, José Raimundo; Ribeiro da Costa, Rodolfo Ferreira; Gomes Alencar, Frederico Augusto; Monteiro da Silva, Tiago
- Abstract
It seeks to identify if State Law No. 15,558/2014 is capable of influencing the crime indicators of Ceará municipalities. The analysis is based on a panel of data for all 184 cities in Ceará, considering from 2010 to 2016. The determinants of crime are analyzed using the feasible generalized least squares method. Although the expectation foreseen in Law 15.558/2014 is to negatively influence the criminal indicators of Ceará, the estimates indicate that this result was not achieved (except for theft crimes) and that this perspective is not a singularity in Ceará, since that the same fact can be observed by other Brazilian and international experiences. As it enables direct financial gains, this mechanism may be responsible for increasing the effort in local security, which starts to act more intensely and, consequently, to register a higher number of occurrences. Still, the financial incentive is not so impactful to fight crime, and this phenomenon should be better studied, considering other approaches, namely: comparing Ceará with another state, comparing Ceará with an average of federative units, and comparing municipalities in Ceará before and after the Management for Results (GPR) to assess the effect of the law.
- Subjects
FORTALEZA (Brazil); INCENTIVE (Psychology); LEAST squares; PANEL analysis; THEFT; STATE laws
- Publication
Journal of Administrative Sciences / Revista Ciências Administrativas, 2020, Vol 26, Issue 2, p1
- ISSN
1414-0896
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5020/2318-0722.2020.26.2.9867