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- Title
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence.
- Authors
Holmberg, Emma; Messori, Gabriele; Caballero, Rodrigo; Faranda, Davide
- Abstract
We investigate the link between warm-temperature extremes in Europe and the persistence of large-scale atmospheric-circulation patterns for both winter and summer, along with some possible physical mechanisms connecting the two. We assess atmospheric persistence, leveraging concepts from dynamical systems theory, and reconcile this approach with the more conventional meteorological views of persistence. We find that wintertime warm spells are partly associated with persistent zonal advection at the surface level but display no statistically significant persistence anomaly in the mid-troposphere. For summertime heatwaves, we find a weak yet significant link to anomalously persistent circulation patterns in the mid-troposphere, while there are few significant persistence anomalies of the surface circulation pattern. We further find no evidence of a strong warm-temperature advection signal. This suggests that other radiative and dynamical processes, for example sensible heating and adiabatic warming, as well as local effects, could play a more important role than large-scale warm-temperature advection for these events. We thus argue that persistent atmospheric configurations are not a necessary requirement for warm-temperature extremes and that the results depend to a considerable extent on region and tropospheric level.
- Subjects
EUROPE; HEAT waves (Meteorology); DYNAMICAL systems; ADVECTION; SYSTEMS theory
- Publication
Earth System Dynamics, 2023, Vol 14, Issue 4, p737
- ISSN
2190-4979
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5194/esd-14-737-2023